PnL all-time−$73.0kvol $8.16M
PnL 30d+$8,116gains $4,632 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$2,794win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate50.3%adj 50.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$316kcash n/a
Positions8 / 167open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 5d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$49.4kbelow peak −$146kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 50.3% · shrunk toward 50%26
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable74
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d82
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 132k | 88.8¢ | 88.5¢ | $117k | −$436 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 66.0k | 88.5¢ | 96.7¢ | $63.8k | +$5,410 | +$4,482 | |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 51.2k | 70.3¢ | 92¢ | $47.1k | +$11.1k | $0 | |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 50.0k | 87.5¢ | 94¢ | $47.0k | +$3,262 | +$15 | |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? | No | 23.8k | 88.9¢ | 94.5¢ | $22.5k | +$1,329 | +$876 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 19.4k | 80¢ | 77.5¢ | $15.0k | −$474 | −$2,137 | |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 47.9k | 2¢ | 4.6¢ | $2,178 | +$1,220 | $0 | |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,577 | 70.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $1,443 | +$330 | $0 |
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