| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | Yes | 3,391 | 98.3¢ | 82.5¢ | $2,797 | −$535 | −$35 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat? | Yes | 2,000 | 89¢ | 91¢ | $1,820 | +$40 | $0 | |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,868 | 91¢ | 96.5¢ | $1,802 | +$103 | −$5.51 | |
| Will MOUZ Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | No | 1,998 | 84¢ | 86.5¢ | $1,728 | +$50 | +$0.71 | |
| Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP? | No | 1,658 | 89¢ | 99.4¢ | $1,647 | +$172 | +$22 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2,000 | 81.9¢ | 81.5¢ | $1,630 | −$9.00 | −$103 | |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | No | 2,000 | 81¢ | 80.5¢ | $1,610 | −$10 | +$235 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat? | No | 1,730 | 89¢ | 92.5¢ | $1,600 | +$61 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 2,000 | 53¢ | 64.5¢ | $1,290 | +$230 | −$20 | |
| Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? | No | 1,329 | 86.6¢ | 96.4¢ | $1,281 | +$131 | +$3.45 | |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 1,984 | 58.6¢ | 61.4¢ | $1,218 | +$55 | +$89 | |
| Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? | No | 1,999 | 40¢ | 58.5¢ | $1,169 | +$369 | +$75 | |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? | No | 1,843 | 54.8¢ | 62¢ | $1,142 | +$133 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 2,000 | 59¢ | 56.5¢ | $1,130 | −$50 | −$78 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 1,511 | 66.1¢ | 74.5¢ | $1,126 | +$126 | +$1,249 | |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? | No | 1,328 | 83.2¢ | 84.5¢ | $1,122 | +$18 | +$10 | |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 9? | Yes | 1,657 | 50.1¢ | 64.2¢ | $1,063 | +$234 | −$3.44 | |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 1,998 | 45.5¢ | 51.5¢ | $1,029 | +$120 | +$72 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 1,392 | 69.8¢ | 71.9¢ | $1,001 | +$30 | −$228 | |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 92¢ | 98.2¢ | $982 | +$62 | $0 | |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,000 | 95¢ | 95.5¢ | $955 | +$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | No | 993 | 88.1¢ | 88.5¢ | $879 | +$3.67 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | No | 875 | 95¢ | 98.1¢ | $858 | +$27 | +$27 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 1,991 | 40.8¢ | 42.2¢ | $839 | +$28 | −$236 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? | No | 1,823 | 48.8¢ | 46¢ | $839 | −$51 | $0 | |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 996 | 79¢ | 84¢ | $837 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | No | 987 | 89.5¢ | 81.7¢ | $806 | −$78 | −$36 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat? | No | 810 | 93¢ | 97.8¢ | $791 | +$38 | +$9.08 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 2,000 | 33¢ | 38.5¢ | $770 | +$110 | +$44 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 1,000 | 76¢ | 76.5¢ | $765 | +$5.00 | +$176 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | 1,248 | 60.7¢ | 59.5¢ | $743 | −$15 | −$11 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 2,000 | 36¢ | 36.5¢ | $730 | +$10 | −$169 | |
| Will Ari Fleischer be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 720 | 96.7¢ | 99.9¢ | $719 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? | No | 1,132 | 63.2¢ | 63.5¢ | $719 | +$2.97 | $0 | |
| Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? | No | 1,165 | 67.9¢ | 60¢ | $699 | −$92 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat? | Yes | 802 | 73.2¢ | 86.5¢ | $693 | +$106 | +$116 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KY-04 House seat? | No | 700 | 97.6¢ | 98¢ | $686 | +$2.65 | $0 | |
| Will Falcons Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | No | 772 | 86¢ | 85.5¢ | $660 | −$3.86 | −$4.13 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-16 House seat? | Yes | 664 | 93.5¢ | 93.1¢ | $618 | −$2.59 | +$72 | |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | Yes | 1,126 | 48.3¢ | 53¢ | $597 | +$53 | $0 | |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 747 | 73¢ | 77.5¢ | $579 | +$34 | −$50 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,298 | 45¢ | 44.5¢ | $578 | −$6.49 | +$21 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-01 House seat? | No | 627 | 90¢ | 89.5¢ | $561 | −$3.14 | $0 | |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | No | 892 | 59¢ | 62.7¢ | $560 | +$33 | +$288 | |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 980 | 42.5¢ | 56.5¢ | $554 | +$137 | +$112 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | Yes | 794 | 64¢ | 69¢ | $548 | +$40 | +$3.05 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,381 | 35¢ | 38.5¢ | $532 | +$48 | +$16 | |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | No | 694 | 74.3¢ | 75.7¢ | $525 | +$9.44 | −$20 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | No | 1,995 | 24.7¢ | 26.3¢ | $525 | +$33 | +$0.37 | |
| Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | No | 607 | 79.6¢ | 81.5¢ | $495 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 1,997 | 29.1¢ | 24.5¢ | $489 | −$91 | −$9.24 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | No | 1,138 | 53.2¢ | 42.5¢ | $484 | −$122 | +$18 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 991 | 48.4¢ | 48.8¢ | $483 | +$3.33 | +$24 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat? | No | 540 | 89.3¢ | 89.1¢ | $481 | −$0.81 | $0 | |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1,202 | 39.8¢ | 40¢ | $481 | +$2.53 | −$44 | |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10? | Yes | 525 | 91.8¢ | 86¢ | $452 | −$30 | −$18 | |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 522 | 88¢ | 86.5¢ | $451 | −$7.83 | −$61 | |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week? | No | 460 | 28.6¢ | 97.1¢ | $447 | +$315 | $0 | |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 444 | 91.9¢ | 98.5¢ | $437 | +$29 | +$32 | |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | No | 1,547 | 22.9¢ | 27.5¢ | $425 | +$71 | +$16 | |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? | No | 538 | 47.9¢ | 76.9¢ | $413 | +$156 | +$21 | |
| Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | No | 1,995 | 19.9¢ | 20.5¢ | $409 | +$11 | −$8.65 | |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 403 | 98.9¢ | 99.4¢ | $401 | +$1.87 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-05 House seat? | Yes | 414 | 95¢ | 95.7¢ | $396 | +$2.69 | $0 | |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 997 | 41.5¢ | 39.5¢ | $394 | −$20 | −$79 | |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | No | 536 | 73.2¢ | 73¢ | $391 | −$1.00 | −$62 | |
| Will Conny Glenn win the 2026 Kingston mayoral election? | No | 394 | 78¢ | 98.7¢ | $389 | +$81 | $0 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 832 | 67.6¢ | 46¢ | $383 | −$180 | −$2.71 | |
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | No | 551 | 61.1¢ | 68.5¢ | $377 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | No | 428 | 91.5¢ | 86.9¢ | $372 | −$20 | +$189 | |
| Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 433 | 94.8¢ | 85.4¢ | $370 | −$41 | −$10 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | No | 523 | 55.1¢ | 70.5¢ | $369 | +$80 | +$0.87 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? | No | 479 | 70¢ | 76.5¢ | $367 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will Junior Caminero win the 2026 American League MVP Award? | No | 374 | 93.2¢ | 96.8¢ | $362 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | No | 412 | 84.5¢ | 87¢ | $358 | +$9.93 | +$23 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 439 | 78¢ | 81.5¢ | $358 | +$15 | +$101 | |
| Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | No | 390 | 91¢ | 91.5¢ | $357 | +$1.95 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 1,998 | 14.1¢ | 17.5¢ | $350 | +$68 | −$0.48 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 462 | 70.8¢ | 73.5¢ | $339 | +$13 | +$168 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9? | No | 519 | 60¢ | 63.5¢ | $329 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland? | No | 353 | 60.2¢ | 92¢ | $325 | +$112 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 855 | 50¢ | 37.5¢ | $321 | −$107 | $0 | |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | No | 830 | 36.4¢ | 37.5¢ | $311 | +$9.47 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting? | No | 544 | 50.6¢ | 54¢ | $294 | +$19 | +$8.08 | |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? | No | 385 | 71.2¢ | 76.2¢ | $294 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 767 | 35.1¢ | 38¢ | $292 | +$23 | +$100 | |
| Will Democrats win 14 or more House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 341 | 85¢ | 85.5¢ | $292 | +$1.71 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 2,000 | 14¢ | 14.5¢ | $290 | +$10 | −$39 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2,000 | 14.3¢ | 14.4¢ | $287 | +$1.00 | −$680 | |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 150 and 179 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | Yes | 1,089 | 1¢ | 25.7¢ | $279 | +$268 | +$29 | |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31? | No | 450 | 60.1¢ | 61¢ | $275 | +$4.03 | +$7.02 | |
| Will claude-opus-5.5-high be the best AI model on October 12, 2026? | No | 269 | 94¢ | 98.5¢ | $265 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | No | 274 | 83.5¢ | 96.2¢ | $264 | +$35 | +$2.29 | |
| Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | No | 282 | 88.5¢ | 92.8¢ | $262 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | No | 482 | 55.5¢ | 53.5¢ | $258 | −$9.81 | +$2.43 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat? | Yes | 269 | 93.1¢ | 89.5¢ | $241 | −$9.73 | −$5.73 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 9? | No | 240 | 96¢ | 100¢ | $240 | +$9.53 | +$0.01 | |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 931 | 36.8¢ | 24.5¢ | $228 | −$115 | −$3.62 | |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | 625 | 43.5¢ | 36.5¢ | $228 | −$44 | −$2.93 | |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | No | 365 | 65¢ | 62¢ | $226 | −$11 | +$29 | |