PnL all-time−$115vol $87.2k
PnL 30d+$0.22gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$0.05win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate63.1%adj 62.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$498cash n/a
Positions6 / 336open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$34below peak −$1,430Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 63.1% · shrunk toward 50%56
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$515Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$249Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$232Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30? · Yesclosed+$119Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO5) · Vitalityclosed+$112
Worst markets
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 150 | 91.7¢ | 100¢ | $150 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | No | 100 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$0.20 | −$0.01 | |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$2.30 | $0 | |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | No | 60 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $60 | +$0.06 | $0 | |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 50 | 97¢ | 97¢ | $48 | −$0.03 | $0 | |
| Trump out as President by July 31? | No | 40 | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $40 | +$0.22 | $0 |
Recent trades
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