sharpside
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Traders/Rank #18,952

Halley01

0x128…7c4f
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+OtherWeatherPoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,190vol $156k
PnL 30d+$32gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$3.84win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate92.8%adj 87.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$4,447cash n/a
Positions20 / 172open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 2mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$967below peak −$2,460Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 92.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 20

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?No1,39398.2¢97.9¢$1,363−$4.59$0
Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?No1,28098.7¢98.3¢$1,258−$5.10$0
Will UBS fail by end of 2026?No75097.8¢98.8¢$741+$7.40$0
Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026?No60098.1¢97.7¢$586−$2.49$0
Will Santander fail by end of 2026?No40098.2¢97.7¢$391−$1.81$0
Will HSBC fail by end of 2026?No11098.7¢98.1¢$108−$0.71$0
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?Yes4,02025¢0¢$0−$1,003−$230
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?No2,10197.6¢0¢$0−$2,050−$2.47
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?Yes1,50013¢0¢$0−$195−$5.09
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?Yes1,03497¢0¢$0−$1,002−$1.04
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?Yes1,0004.4¢0¢$0−$44−$1.11
Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes94181.5¢0¢$0−$767−$4.25
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes60213¢0¢$0−$78−$87
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Yes60076¢0¢$0−$456−$3.28
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes52129.2¢0¢$0−$152−$4.80
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 0% and 2% in May?Yes5217.1¢0¢$0−$37−$1.72
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?Yes50011¢0¢$0−$55−$1.47
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -2% and 0% in May?Yes4907.3¢0¢$0−$36−$1.43
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Brazil2703¢0¢$0−$8.00−$0.23
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?Yes7020.3¢0¢$0−$14−$0.46

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?98.5¢40$3993%36
SELL NoWill Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?98.4¢10$9.8493%36
BUY NoWill the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?96.9¢206$20093%36
BUY YesWill the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?99.5¢804$80093%36
BUY NoWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?98.4¢173$17093%36
BUY YesWill United States win on 2026-07-01?99.3¢504$50093%36
BUY YesWill United States win on 2026-07-01?98.9¢506$50093%36
BUY YesWill United States win on 2026-07-01?99.1¢404$40093%36
BUY YesWill United States win on 2026-07-01?97.8¢716$70093%36
BUY NoWill Lloyds fail by end of 2026?98.7¢200$19793%36
BUY NoWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?98.4¢40$3993%36
BUY NoWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?98.4¢40$3993%36
BUY NoWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?98.4¢40$3993%36
BUY NoWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?98.4¢40$3993%36
BUY NoWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?98.4¢40$3993%36
BUY NoWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?98.4¢40$3993%36
BUY NoWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?98.4¢40$3993%36
BUY NoWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?98.4¢40$3993%36
BUY NoWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?98.4¢40$3993%36
BUY NoWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?98.4¢40$3993%36