| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 22.0k | 40.7¢ | 15¢ | $3,296 | −$5,639 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8,832 | 28.2¢ | 23.5¢ | $2,076 | −$417 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,138 | 26.2¢ | 97¢ | $2,074 | +$1,514 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,038 | 18.6¢ | 53¢ | $1,080 | +$700 | +$1,166 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2,500 | 42.8¢ | 41.3¢ | $1,031 | −$39 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,687 | 18.8¢ | 18¢ | $304 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,124 | 23¢ | 9.5¢ | $297 | −$422 | $0 | |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6,500 | 7¢ | 4.5¢ | $293 | −$163 | $0 | |
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | Yes | 460 | 30.2¢ | 41¢ | $188 | +$49 | +$34 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes | 5,000 | 5.5¢ | 2.9¢ | $148 | −$128 | $0 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 3,010 | 11.8¢ | 1.8¢ | $53 | −$303 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 1,090 | 9¢ | 2.9¢ | $31 | −$67 | $0 | |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 36.0k | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$696 | −$20 | |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 26.0k | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$476 | −$14 | |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20.0k | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$160 | −$4.76 | |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? | Yes | 8,405 | 37.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,164 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30? | Yes | 5,504 | 26.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,446 | $0 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 5,500 | 10.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$555 | +$115 | |
| Ukraine election called in 2025? | Yes | 5,300 | 7.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$396 | −$26 | |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 14? | Yes | 5,000 | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$165 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? | Yes | 4,403 | 44.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,952 | $0 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 4,000 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$28 | $0 | |
| Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 3,727 | 8.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$303 | −$8.34 | |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14? | Yes | 3,700 | 4.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$154 | $0 | |
| US forces in Venezuela by December 31? | Yes | 3,200 | 15.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$508 | $0 | |
| Will Turkiye reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3,058 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$306 | −$8.26 | |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31? | Yes | 3,023 | 38.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,156 | +$25 | |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | No | 3,000 | 28¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$840 | $0 | |
| Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027? | No | 2,832 | 17.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$500 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,700 | 16.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$435 | $0 | |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 2,656 | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,062 | −$32 | |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? | Yes | 2,500 | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$99 | $0 | |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? | Yes | 2,475 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$396 | −$17 | |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31? | Yes | 2,368 | 40.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$957 | $0 | |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 2,346 | 37.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$887 | $0 | |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | 2,306 | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | No | 2,259 | 25.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$579 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31? | Yes | 2,145 | 26.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$560 | −$22 | |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28? | Yes | 2,120 | 53.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,130 | $0 | |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3? | Yes | 2,000 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1,989 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$139 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31? | Yes | 1,970 | 7.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$156 | $0 | |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026? | Yes | 1,952 | 15.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$304 | $0 | |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 1, 2026? | Yes | 1,800 | 14.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$265 | $0 | |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 1? | Yes | 1,700 | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$56 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Udachne before July? | Yes | 1,650 | 19.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$318 | $0 | |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5? | Yes | 1,600 | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Mykolaivka before July? | Yes | 1,600 | 11.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$180 | $0 | |
| Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 1,514 | 35¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$531 | $0 | |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 2, 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 11.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$172 | $0 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | 1,500 | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$51 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1,500 | 14¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$210 | −$9.03 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31? | Yes | 1,402 | 53.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$749 | $0 | |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 19, 2026? | Yes | 1,320 | 14.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$197 | $0 | |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 18, 2026? | Yes | 1,300 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$208 | $0 | |
| France vs. England: Team to Win | France | 1,300 | 67¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$871 | −$14 | |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | 1,300 | 6.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$83 | $0 | |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? | Yes | 1,200 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18? | Yes | 1,200 | 52¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$624 | −$15 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,200 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$192 | $0 | |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24? | Yes | 1,000 | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$37 | $0 | |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | Yes | 1,000 | 38¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$380 | $0 | |
| Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? | Yes | 1,000 | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$220 | $0 | |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? | Yes | 952 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$295 | $0 | |
| Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 31? | Yes | 800 | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$176 | $0 | |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 21, 2026? | Yes | 800 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$120 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31? | Yes | 790 | 47.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$374 | +$435 | |
| Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? | Yes | 706 | 15.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$112 | −$3.71 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | Yes | 700 | 36¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$252 | $0 | |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Zelensky events on August 18? | Yes | 700 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 30? | Yes | 700 | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$154 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | Yes | 600 | 43¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$258 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28? | No | 600 | 36.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$219 | $0 | |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 16, 2026? | Yes | 600 | 26¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$156 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of January? | Yes | 502 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | +$7.48 | |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | Yes | 497 | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$234 | $0 | |
| US military action against Iran before July? | No | 400 | 36¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$144 | −$31 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | Yes | 400 | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$212 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Udachne before August? | Yes | 388 | 58.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$228 | $0 | |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | 350 | 13.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$47 | $0 | |
| Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before July? | Yes | 300 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July? | Yes | 300 | 78.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$235 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August? | No | 270 | 45¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$122 | $0 | |
| Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2 | Dubois | 260 | 24¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$62 | $0 | |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 20, 2026? | Yes | 89 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Yablunivka before July? | Yes | 4 | 32.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.27 | −$8.99 | |
