PnL all-time+$20.6kvol $5.57M
PnL 30d−$177gains $5,690 · losses $14.3k
PnL 7d+$2,320win rate 7d 26.9%
Win rate42.7%adj 43.0% · 30d 37.9%
Open value$6,310cash n/a
Positions9 / 777open / all-time
Max drawdown−21.3%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 23h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$41.9kbelow peak −$7,316Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 42.7% · shrunk toward 50%8
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable96
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity79
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? · Yesclosed+$4,040Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? · Yesclosed+$3,407Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026? · Yesclosed+$2,912Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026? · Yesclosed+$2,720Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? · Yesclosed+$2,556
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,428Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,368Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,324Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? · Yesopen−$1,285Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,224
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | Yes | 4,110 | 35.3¢ | 94¢ | $3,863 | +$2,411 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3,000 | 65¢ | 63.5¢ | $1,905 | −$45 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | Yes | 886 | 44¢ | 57.5¢ | $509 | +$120 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 113 | 22¢ | 23.5¢ | $27 | +$1.70 | +$0.34 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 29 | 12.4¢ | 18.5¢ | $5.29 | +$1.74 | −$28 | |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | Yes | 4,277 | 20.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$858 | −$427 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | Yes | 2,723 | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$146 | −$54 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | Yes | 423 | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | Yes | 111 | 6.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.37 | $0 |
Recent trades
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