PnL all-time−$712vol $55.5k
PnL 30d−$286gains $1,035 · losses $694
PnL 7d+$7.83win rate 7d 57.1%
Win rate52.9%adj 52.8% · 30d 57.7%
Open value$226cash n/a
Positions38 / 362open / all-time
Max drawdown−83.1%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 7h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$578below peak −$759Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 52.9% · shrunk toward 50%32
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity17
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 30? · Noclosed+$237Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 29? · Noclosed+$195Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 14? · Yesopen+$146Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Yesclosed+$140Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 27? · Noclosed+$91
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 3? · Noclosed−$424Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 12? · Noopen−$360Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 28? · Noopen−$208Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 14? · Noopen−$75Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18? · Noopen−$56
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 14? | Yes | 243 | 35.2¢ | 89.5¢ | $218 | +$132 | +$14 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 14? | Yes | 115 | 10.8¢ | 5.1¢ | $5.81 | −$6.62 | $0 |
Recent trades
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