sharpside
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0x136…b79d

0x136…b79d
CryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$151vol $86.2k
PnL 30d−$1,494gains $231 · losses $376
PnL 7d+$15win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate55.1%adj 54.6% · 30d 29.0%
Open value$2,549cash n/a
Positions97 / 307open / all-time
Max drawdown−94.5%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 10d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$456below peak −$3,154Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 55.1% · shrunk toward 50%37
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d67
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity6

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 97

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat?Yes23270¢82.5¢$192+$29$0
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?No1895¢99.6¢$188+$178$0
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes1834.6¢98.7¢$180+$172$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat?Yes19273.8¢85.5¢$164+$22$0
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat?Yes16489¢95.1¢$156+$9.92$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes20071¢72¢$144+$2.00$0
Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?Yes13670.9¢91.5¢$124+$28$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?No15471¢72.5¢$112+$2.31$0
Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?Yes11572¢92.5¢$106+$24$0
Will the Republican Party win the MI-01 House seat?Yes11474¢90.5¢$103+$19$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No14566¢69.5¢$100+$5.06$0
Will the Republican Party win the VA-09 House seat?Yes10392¢97.1¢$100+$5.20$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?Yes20046.8¢46.5¢$93−$0.70$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?No12460¢71.5¢$88+$14$0
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes65014¢13.5¢$88−$3.20$0
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?No11670¢69.5¢$81−$0.58$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-20 House seat?Yes6689¢97.3¢$64+$5.45$0
Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No4589.5¢96.6¢$44+$3.18$0
Will the Republican Party win the CO-05 House seat?Yes5771¢74.5¢$42+$2.00$0
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes5967¢70.5¢$42+$2.06$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes10010¢40¢$40+$30$0
Will Josh O'Connor be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No4184.3¢94.5¢$39+$4.18$0
Will John Turturro be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No6280.9¢59.5¢$37−$13$0
Will the Republican Party win the MD-08 House seat?No3890.8¢97.3¢$36+$2.44$0
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes3674¢99.8¢$35+$9.14$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?No6548¢45.5¢$30−$1.63$0
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No1581.1¢90¢$14+$1.35$0
Will Robert Aramayo be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No1487¢91.9¢$13+$0.68$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-01 House seat?Yes1294¢95.5¢$11+$0.18$0
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No2051¢49.5¢$9.90−$0.30$0
Will the Republican Party win the MN-04 House seat?No1094¢96.4¢$9.64+$0.24$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-02 House seat?Yes1094¢95.8¢$9.57+$0.17$0
Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No1082¢93.5¢$9.35+$1.15$0
Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No869¢93.5¢$7.48+$1.96$0
Will ChatGPT be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No776¢96.9¢$6.30+$1.36$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?No1064¢63.5¢$6.03−$0.05$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?Yes2527¢21.5¢$5.38−$1.38$0
Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No659.1¢86.5¢$4.95+$1.57$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?Yes864¢63.5¢$4.76−$0.04$0
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?No2417¢12.5¢$3.00−$1.08$0
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes4022¢7.5¢$2.96−$5.73$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No1089.2¢28.4¢$2.83−$6.08$0
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes507¢0.3¢$0.15−$3.35−$3.14
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes16.3k0.4¢0¢$0−$69$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?No2,16753¢0¢$0−$1,149$0
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No2,08324¢0¢$0−$500$0
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium2,0260.5¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown2,0031.4¢0¢$0−$28$0
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?No1,36439.6¢0¢$0−$540−$13
US government shutdown Saturday?No1,0000.3¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Ole Miss vs. FloridaOle Miss1,00030¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes62715.9¢0¢$0−$100−$3.36
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes3401.5¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETDown3203¢0¢$0−$9.50+$2.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp29985.7¢0¢$0−$256$0
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes20060¢0¢$0−$120$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETDown17786.3¢0¢$0−$153$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETDown11388.2¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will two people dissent the March Fed decision?Yes9035.1¢0¢$0−$32$0
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 28?Yes8028¢0¢$0−$22$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETUp758¢0¢$0−$6.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown721¢0¢$0−$0.72$0
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway717¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.23
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETUp5354.9¢0¢$0−$29+$0.23
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes5069¢0¢$0−$35$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETDown4879.9¢0¢$0−$38$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETUp4536.9¢0¢$0−$17+$0.15
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3320.5¢0¢$0−$6.75−$6.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp3023.4¢0¢$0−$7.10$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown300.1¢0¢$0−$0.04$0
Alexander Isak: Anytime GoalscorerNo3065¢0¢$0−$20−$0.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETUp301¢0¢$0−$0.30$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETUp2632.2¢0¢$0−$8.50$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETDown2381.7¢0¢$0−$19$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETUp2145.9¢0¢$0−$9.50$0
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 17?Up2038¢0¢$0−$7.60$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETUp2028.4¢0¢$0−$5.67+$3.08
Grok 4.20 released by April 20?No205¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETUp1461.1¢0¢$0−$8.64+$1.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETUp1350¢0¢$0−$6.44−$3.42
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETUp1220.1¢0¢$0−$2.40$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETUp1233.9¢0¢$0−$4.02$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETUp1024.2¢0¢$0−$2.50$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETUp1036.5¢0¢$0−$3.70$0
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 21?No1027¢0¢$0−$2.70$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETDown1050¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp1015.1¢0¢$0−$1.50$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETDown1062.9¢0¢$0−$6.20$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETUp1054.8¢0¢$0−$5.40$0
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp1049.8¢0¢$0−$4.90$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?Yes911.3¢0¢$0−$1.04−$1.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETUp523.4¢0¢$0−$1.28−$9.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETUp55¢0¢$0−$0.25$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETUp55¢0¢$0−$0.25$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETUp573.7¢0¢$0−$3.65$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETUp212.6¢0¢$0−$0.21+$0.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETUp120.2¢0¢$0−$0.25−$0.16

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?51¢20$1055%35
SELL RavensRavens vs. Cowboys55.2¢1,000$55255%35
BUY YesWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.5¢10.0k$5055%35
BUY NoRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?35.5¢113$4055%35
BUY YesWill New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?60¢200$12055%35
BUY YesWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?0.3¢6,259$1955%35
BUY YesWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?91¢879$80055%35
BUY YesWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?93¢1,075$1,00055%35
BUY YesWill Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?15.9¢627$10055%35
BUY NoWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?24¢2,083$50055%35
BUY NoWill Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?88.7¢38$3455%35
BUY NoRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?40¢1,251$50055%35
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?52.5¢500$26355%35
SELL YesClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?8.6¢500$4355%35
SELL NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?92.1¢500$46155%35
SELL NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?30¢200$6055%35
SELL YesSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?29.5¢300$8855%35
SELL NoWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?40¢10$4.0055%35
SELL NoWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?40¢20$8.0055%35
SELL YesWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?13.9¢30$4.1755%35