PnL all-time−$7.12vol $30.8k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate41.7%adj 45.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,041cash n/a
Positions7 / 35open / all-time
Max drawdown−4.4%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$7.12below peak −$13Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
22/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 41.7% · shrunk toward 50%14
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable51
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out? · Noclosed+$19Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? · Noopen+$11Will a dozen eggs be between $4.75-5.00 in May? · Noclosed+$4.62Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 15? · Yesclosed+$2.60Will Joao Almeida win the Tour de France 2025? · Noclosed+$2.35
Worst markets
Will the price of Solana be less than $130 on June 20? · Yesclosed−$20Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025? · Yesopen−$11Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? · Noclosed−$3.90Liverpool wins the Premier League? · Yesclosed−$3.84Will Bitcoin dip to $112K August 4–10? · Yesopen−$2.59
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 401 | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | $401 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | No | 340 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $340 | +$0.68 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 300 | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $300 | +$1.50 | $0 |
Recent trades
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