sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #1,575

Lucerys

0x138…55f8@CorlysBro
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+PoliticsSportWeatherOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$111kvol $4.63M
PnL 30d−$17.5kgains $3,269 · losses $5,406
PnL 7d−$11.5kwin rate 7d 26.3%
Win rate26.3%adj 27.2% · 30d 26.3%
Open value$4,958cash n/a
Positions2,000 / 31,290open / all-time
Max drawdown−52.9%of equity peak
Account age31dlast trade 1m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$661kbelow peak −$612kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

54/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale72
Adjusted win rateraw 26.3% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity47

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yesopen+$847Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yesopen+$430Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? · Noclosed+$410Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 120 and 149 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? · Noclosed+$345Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yesopen+$289

Worst markets

Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$877Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$618Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$504Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$466Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$394

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes6024¢93.5¢$562+$538+$308
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?Yes77043.2¢49.5¢$381+$48$0
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes3204.4¢98.4¢$314+$300+$130
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes33925¢88.5¢$300+$215$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?Yes51148.3¢30.5¢$156−$91$0
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes1371.9¢91.1¢$125+$122+$86
Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?Yes2152.7¢38¢$82+$76+$27
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,115,000 and $1,126,000 on December 31?Yes33614.3¢22¢$74+$26$0
Will Tom Dyas win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?Yes2161.3¢31¢$67+$64$0
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Yes12218.1¢53.5¢$65+$43+$3.95
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?Yes9923.3¢57¢$56+$33+$1.35
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Yes16320¢29¢$47+$15+$3.31
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Yes8020.2¢54.5¢$44+$27+$2.70
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Yes15016.7¢28.5¢$43+$18$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 9?Yes639.1¢57¢$36+$30+$5.79
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?Yes13311.1¢24¢$32+$17$0
Will Portugal win the UEFA EURO 2028?Yes3111.5¢9.5¢$30+$25+$2.47
Will Leanne Caron win the 2026 Guelph mayoral election?Yes503.7¢57.5¢$29+$27$0
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Yes5410¢51.7¢$28+$23+$9.32
Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 US song this week?Yes287.2¢99.8¢$27+$25$0
Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes10320¢26.5¢$27+$6.73$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 10%-15%?Yes1329.1¢20.5¢$27+$15$0
Will the Labour Party candidate win 40-45% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes4216.7¢53.5¢$23+$16+$11
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes1660.9¢13.5¢$22+$21+$206
Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Yes253.2¢88¢$22+$21+$11
Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes2412.5¢8.5¢$20+$14+$36
Will Ayyoub Bouaddi win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes482.9¢42¢$20+$19$0
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?Yes1660.9¢11.5¢$19+$18+$218
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-09 House election by 25%-30%?Yes748¢25.5¢$19+$13$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 25%-30%?Yes717.7¢26.5¢$19+$13+$6.68
Will the season series between the Chiefs and Chargers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes3933.3¢48.5¢$19+$5.84+$4.37
Will Konstantinos Karetsas win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes482.9¢38.5¢$18+$17$0
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes5319.9¢34.5¢$18+$7.72$0
Will Finn Jeltsch win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes482.9¢37.5¢$18+$17$0
Will Netherlands win the UEFA EURO 2028?Yes3811.5¢4.5¢$17+$11+$2.47
Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?Yes502.6¢34¢$17+$16$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-09 House election by 30%-35%?Yes748¢22.5¢$17+$11$0
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes2562.5¢6.5¢$17+$10+$50
Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?Yes222.9¢75¢$16+$16$0
Will Jon Martin win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes482.9¢34.5¢$16+$15$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 15%-20%?Yes789.8¢21¢$16+$8.75$0
Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Yes9920¢16.5¢$16−$3.46$0
Will Charalampos Kostoulas win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes482.9¢34¢$16+$15$0
Will Xavi Espart win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes482.9¢34¢$16+$15$0
Will Joane Gadou win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes482.9¢33.5¢$16+$15$0
Will the season series between the Browns and Steelers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes3248¢49.5¢$16+$0.48+$2.40
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 15%-20%?Yes459.1¢32.5¢$15+$10$0
Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes2102.8¢6.5¢$14+$7.66+$36
Will the Dallas Stars be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes2412.5¢5.5¢$13+$7.14+$36
Will Chana Pilane-Majake be the next mayor of Tshwane?Yes2323.2¢5.6¢$13+$5.51$0
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes1522.5¢8.5¢$13+$9.14+$22
Will Kevin Klein win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes712.7¢17.7¢$13+$11$0
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes549.1¢23¢$12+$7.52$0
Will OpenRouter process between 155T and 165T tokens the week of October 5?Yes3520¢35¢$12+$5.29$0
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?Yes5412.5¢21¢$11+$4.57+$11
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 50%-55%?Yes327.7¢35.5¢$11+$8.76+$1.92
Will George Harvie win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?Yes342.9¢32¢$11+$9.97+$26
Will Ján Nosko win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?Yes282.7¢38.5¢$11+$9.93$0
Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?Yes2411.1¢44.4¢$10+$7.83+$7.52
Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?Yes242.3¢43.5¢$10+$9.90+$2.39
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-08 House election by 65%-70%?Yes347.7¢30.5¢$10+$7.73$0
Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31?Yes4516.2¢22.5¢$10+$2.86+$16
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?Yes3612.5¢28.5¢$10+$5.73+$50
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 15%-20%?Yes308.3¢34¢$10+$7.63+$13
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election by 20%-25%?Yes468.2¢22¢$10+$6.34$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 45% or more?Yes388.3¢26.8¢$10+$6.95$0
Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes1792.5¢5.6¢$9.92+$5.44+$37
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 0%-3%?Yes417.7¢22.5¢$9.29+$6.11$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 45%-50%?Yes367.7¢25.3¢$9.17+$6.38$0
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?Yes193.4¢48¢$9.12+$8.46+$2.54
Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?Yes2520¢35.5¢$8.98+$3.92$0
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 325,000 and 350,000?Yes2614.3¢33¢$8.59+$4.87+$4.58
Will Nasiphi Moya be the next mayor of Tshwane?Yes463.2¢18.5¢$8.58+$7.09+$24
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 35%-40%?Yes477.7¢18¢$8.54+$4.89+$1.47
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes16.3k1.1¢0.1¢$8.13−$172$0
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes16.2k1.1¢0.1¢$8.11−$171$0
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes16.2k1.1¢0.1¢$8.11−$171$0
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes16.2k1.1¢0.1¢$8.11−$171$0
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes16.2k1.1¢0.1¢$8.11−$171$0
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes2412.5¢3.2¢$7.58+$1.49+$61
Will Aldo Antolli win the next Kingborough mayoral election?Yes193.1¢40¢$7.46+$6.89+$0.32
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 10%-15%?Yes269.9¢28.5¢$7.45+$4.87+$13
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-14 House election by 10%-15%?Yes249.1¢30.6¢$7.35+$5.16$0
Will Miloš Mičega win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?Yes302.3¢24¢$7.20+$6.50+$11
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado be between 2,550,000 and 2,700,000?Yes2510.6¢28.5¢$7.15+$4.49+$7.20
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,600,000 and 10,000,000?Yes2810¢23.5¢$6.60+$3.79+$13
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election by 0%-5%?Yes468.2¢14.3¢$6.54+$2.80−$0.01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?Yes307.7¢21.5¢$6.45+$4.15+$4.33
Will the Detroit Pistons be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Yes865.4¢7.5¢$6.42+$1.83$0
Will Phumeza Mangcu be the next mayor of Tshwane?Yes2423.2¢2.6¢$6.29−$1.51$0
Will Italy win the UEFA EURO 2028?Yes1791.5¢3.5¢$6.25+$3.59+$6.73
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes2820¢22.5¢$6.25+$0.69+$1.92
Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 64-65°F on October 9?Yes259.1¢24.5¢$6.13+$3.85$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 25%-30%?Yes208.3¢30.5¢$6.10+$4.43$0
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes12.2k1.1¢0.1¢$6.08−$130$0
Will Ola Brynhildsen score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Yes450.7¢13.2¢$5.97+$5.66+$27
Will Werwulf win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes212.5¢28.6¢$5.93+$5.41+$3.64
Will Luka Vuskovic win the 2026 Golden Boy award?Yes482.9¢11.9¢$5.65+$4.29$0
Will Carolina Hurricanes be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?Yes305¢18.5¢$5.55+$4.06+$37
Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?Yes213.2¢27¢$5.54+$4.88+$7.79

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 10?73.7¢64$4726%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 10?98¢64$6326%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 10?99.8¢64$6426%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on October 10?99.8¢64$6426%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 10?99.6¢64$6426%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 10?99.8¢64$6426%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or below on October 10?99.9¢64$6426%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 10?99.9¢64$6426%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 10?45¢64$2926%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 10?99.9¢64$6426%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on October 9?67¢5$3.6026%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 9?81¢5$4.3626%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 9?99¢5$5.3326%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on October 9?66¢5$3.5526%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 9?29¢19$5.4526%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 9?99.9¢19$1926%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 9?99.6¢19$1926%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 9?96.5¢19$1826%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 10?81¢20$1626%54
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 10?99.8¢20$2026%54