sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,880

bZk0Uo

0x138…0467
WR 70+WR 60+CryptoOtherSportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,993vol $728k
PnL 30d+$3,449gains $22.2k · losses $2,858
PnL 7d−$5,077win rate 7d 68.8%
Win rate72.2%adj 71.4% · 30d 72.2%
Open value$10.9kcash n/a
Positions426 / 1,397open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 1m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$540below peak −$4,855Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 72.2% · shrunk toward 50%79
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026?Yes3,89457.2¢49¢$1,908−$318−$114
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes2,28141¢66.5¢$1,517+$581+$68
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?Yes2,28749.8¢63.5¢$1,452+$312−$0.35
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?No2,36148.5¢59.5¢$1,405+$261$0
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?$1,0003,89433.5¢27¢$1,051−$254$0
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?No51598.4¢96.6¢$497−$9.78$0
Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No2,28150.3¢19¢$433−$715−$43
Obama arrested before 2027?No32897.1¢97.9¢$321+$2.49$0
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?Yes33759.6¢66.5¢$224+$23$0
Panthers vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Under46449¢44.5¢$207−$21$0
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $82.50 Week of October 12 2026?No17996¢99.5¢$178+$6.18$0
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31?Yes2,93412.3¢4¢$116−$246−$1.45
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?No25738.1¢36.5¢$94−$3.99−$3.16
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?No16252.2¢52.5¢$85+$0.50+$15
Will New Orleans Pelicans advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No7795.8¢96.7¢$74+$0.68+$3.83
Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by December 31?Yes16240.8¢43.5¢$70+$4.35−$5.99
Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 28, 2026?Yes6791¢90.4¢$61−$0.43−$6.96
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?Yes40430¢15¢$61−$61−$1.48
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No5695.9¢97¢$54+$0.62$0
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No4990.8¢91.4¢$45+$0.28+$24
Will Hyperliquid dip to $76 in October?No7563¢57.5¢$43−$4.12−$0.69
Will the NBA announce an expansion team in Las Vegas by October 23, 2026?No4771.1¢85¢$40+$6.51−$0.20
Will Memphis Grizzlies advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No4092¢99¢$40+$2.80$0
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of October 12 2026?Yes4755.5¢83¢$39+$13$0
Will Sacramento Kings advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No4091.5¢97.4¢$39+$2.35$0
Will LA Clippers advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No4092¢97¢$39+$2.00$0
Will Dallas Mavericks advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No4092¢96.4¢$39+$1.76$0
Will Phoenix Suns advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No4088¢94.4¢$38+$2.54$0
Will Utah Jazz advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No4092.4¢94.2¢$38+$0.72−$1.52
Will Shedeur Sanders be the highest-scoring QB of the 2026-27 NFL season?No4082.4¢94.1¢$38+$4.66$0
Will Portland Trail Blazers advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No4091¢93¢$37+$0.80$0
Will Golden State Warriors advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No4091¢92¢$37+$0.40$0
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No4095¢88¢$35−$2.80$0
Will Houston Rockets advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No4095¢87¢$35−$3.20$0
Will Denver Nuggets advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No4085.5¢84.5¢$34−$0.40$0
Ravens vs. Browns: O/U 46.5Under4822¢67¢$32+$22$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $80 in October?Yes7530¢41.5¢$31+$8.63+$0.84
Will Michael Penix Jr. be the highest-scoring QB of the 2026-27 NFL season?No4075.1¢77.4¢$31+$0.92$0
Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No4086¢76.5¢$31−$3.80$0
Will Ethena reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026?No3083.6¢80¢$24−$1.09$0
Ravens vs. Browns: O/U 42.5Over4874¢47.5¢$23−$13$0
Will Baker Mayfield be the highest-scoring QB of the 2026-27 NFL season?No2093.1¢96.3¢$19+$0.64$0
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $213 Week of October 12 2026?No4733¢40¢$19+$3.29$0
Will Kentucky Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?No2092.8¢93.9¢$19+$0.21+$0.07
Will Clemson be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?No2094¢93¢$19−$0.20−$0.53
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?No1985.9¢93.4¢$18+$1.41+$1.32
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in October?No296¢60.6¢$17+$16$0
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No4042.5¢35.5¢$14−$2.80$0
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Western Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?No4038.5¢35¢$14−$1.40$0
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?Yes2043¢56¢$11+$2.60$0
Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?No2150¢48¢$9.84−$0.40$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?Yes3157.8¢3.1¢$9.78−$15+$0.10
Will BNB reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?No1069.5¢92.7¢$9.28+$2.32+$4.85
Gemini 4.0 released by October 12, 2026?Yes19211.4¢4.5¢$8.53−$13$0
Will Fhenix launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes1788¢48¢$8.35−$6.95$0
Will Fhenix launch a token by September 30, 2027?No1756¢45.5¢$7.91−$1.83$0
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of October 12 2026?Yes1793¢4¢$7.16+$1.79$0
Will the NBA announce an expansion team in Las Vegas by October 30, 2026?Yes4786.1¢13.5¢$6.31−$34−$39
Will Baker Mayfield finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes2420.4¢2.6¢$6.29+$5.29$0
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027?Yes3281.5¢1.9¢$6.06+$1.15$0
Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?Yes3021.5¢18.5¢$5.61−$0.90$0
Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 21, 2026?No655¢8.1¢$5.23+$2.00$0
Exact Score: Levante UD 0 - 1 Athletic Club?No656¢89.5¢$5.18+$1.94$0
Will Arizona St. Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?No592.5¢91.8¢$4.60−$0.04−$0.48
SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?No537¢89.5¢$4.47+$2.63$0
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?No485¢96.4¢$4.32+$0.51$0
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?No35.4¢98¢$3.12+$2.94+$156
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?No446¢73.5¢$2.59+$0.97$0
Will Michael Penix Jr. finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes409.9¢5.9¢$2.38−$1.58$0
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5150.8¢0.5¢$2.32−$1.76$0
Will Sui reach $2.00 before 2027?No320¢84.5¢$2.30+$1.76$0
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in October?Yes604¢3.7¢$2.22−$0.18$0
Meta's Watermelon released by October 15, 2026?No535¢43.5¢$2.07+$0.40$0
Will BNB dip to $650 by December 31, 2026?Yes311¢59.5¢$2.00+$1.63$0
Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?No279.4¢79¢$1.81−$0.01−$7.78
Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?Yes495.2¢3.6¢$1.73−$0.79−$13
Will Kentucky make College Football Playoff Semifinals?Yes215¢7.7¢$1.62+$0.57+$1.44
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?Yes313.5¢58.5¢$1.55+$1.19$0
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes552.5¢2.8¢$1.53+$0.16$0
Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Under641¢26¢$1.50−$0.87$0
Will Shedeur Sanders finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes523.9¢2.8¢$1.42−$0.59$0
Kraken IPO by June 30, 2027?No264¢65.5¢$1.31+$0.03−$0.41
Will Clemson make College Football Playoff Quarterfinals?Yes214.9¢6.2¢$1.28+$0.26+$0.50
Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?No124¢90¢$1.18+$0.87$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes574¢23.5¢$1.18−$2.52$0
Will Notre Dame Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?No254.2¢73.5¢$1.12+$0.29+$14
SSI public model released by November 30, 2026?Yes258¢46.5¢$1.07−$0.27+$0.06
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?Yes1510.7¢7¢$1.04−$0.55−$3.22
Will Utah have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?O 8.5158¢85¢$1.02+$0.32−$0.93
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by October 31, 2026?No151¢96.9¢$0.97+$0.46$0
Will New Orleans Pelicans advance to the Western Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Yes401.8¢2.3¢$0.90+$0.19−$2.08
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026?No135.4¢77¢$0.83+$0.45+$6.58
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?Yes528¢16.5¢$0.83−$0.58−$34
Will Valve add first CS2 operation by December 31, 2026?No176.9¢71.5¢$0.71−$0.05−$1.33
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?No122¢59¢$0.62+$0.39$0
Will Arizona St. make College Football Playoff Quarterfinals?Yes55¢10.5¢$0.53+$0.28+$2.23
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?No113¢50.5¢$0.51+$0.38$0
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Yes214¢30.5¢$0.49+$0.26+$0.80
Will SB Energy IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes152¢43.6¢$0.44−$0.08+$1.32
Will Valve add first CS2 operation by March 31, 2027?Yes150¢26¢$0.26−$0.24$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoBitcoin above 82,800 on October 12, 9AM ET?1¢50$0.5072%43
BUY NoBitcoin above 83,000 on October 12, 9AM ET?1¢50$0.5072%43
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7AM ET5.7¢18$1.0072%43
BUY NoBitcoin above 82,800 on October 12, 7AM ET?1¢50$0.5072%43
BUY NoBitcoin above 82,800 on October 12, 6AM ET?0.3¢55$0.1572%43
BUY NoBitcoin above 82,600 on October 12, 6AM ET?0.5¢50$0.2572%43
BUY YesBitcoin above 82,000 on October 12, 6AM ET?97¢50$4972%43
BUY NoBitcoin above 82,400 on October 12, 6AM ET?0.5¢50$0.2572%43
BUY YesBitcoin above 82,000 on October 12, 6AM ET?97¢50$4972%43
BUY NoBitcoin above 82,400 on October 12, 6AM ET?0.5¢50$0.2572%43
BUY YesBitcoin above 82,000 on October 12, 6AM ET?97¢50$4972%43
BUY NoBitcoin above 82,400 on October 12, 6AM ET?0.5¢50$0.2572%43
BUY YesBitcoin above 82,200 on October 12, 5AM ET?94¢18$1772%43
BUY NoBitcoin above 83,000 on October 12, 5AM ET?4¢18$0.7272%43
BUY NoBitcoin above 83,000 on October 12, 5AM ET?4¢18$0.7272%43
BUY YesBitcoin above 82,200 on October 12, 5AM ET?94¢18$1772%43
BUY YesWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?65¢55$3672%43
BUY NoWill AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?28¢55$1572%43
BUY NoWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $82.50 Week of October 12 2026?96¢179$17272%43
BUY YesWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 11?0.1¢1,000$1.0072%43