PnL all-time+$79vol $1,862
PnL 30d+$106gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$106win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$407cash n/a
Positions4 / 6open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.4%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 16h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$126below peak −$3.86Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale27
Adjusted win rateraw 50.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable26
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? · Yesopen+$52UBS announces move out of Switzerland by December 31? · Noopen+$43France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? · Noclosed+$29Will Swiss Parliament pass the UBS capital law by June 30, 2027? · Yesopen+$6.10UBS announces move out of Switzerland by June 30, 2027? · Noopen+$1.08
Worst markets
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBS announces move out of Switzerland by December 31? | No | 253 | 74.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $231 | +$43 | $0 | |
| Will Swiss Parliament pass the UBS capital law by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 140 | 74.1¢ | 78.5¢ | $110 | +$6.10 | $0 | |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | Yes | 101 | 62.1¢ | 57.5¢ | $58 | −$4.62 | +$56 | |
| UBS announces move out of Switzerland by June 30, 2027? | No | 9 | 68¢ | 79.5¢ | $7.49 | +$1.08 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY Yes | Will Swiss Parliament pass the UBS capital law by June 30, 2027? | 75¢ | 100 | $75 | 50% | 28 | |||
| BUY No | UBS announces move out of Switzerland by June 30, 2027? | 68¢ | 9 | $6.41 | 50% | 28 | |||
| BUY No | UBS announces move out of Switzerland by December 31? | 71¢ | 20 | $14 | 50% | 28 | |||
| BUY No | UBS announces move out of Switzerland by December 31? | 71.5¢ | 133 | $95 | 50% | 28 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | 64¢ | 156 | $100 | 50% | 28 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | 60.3¢ | 166 | $100 | 50% | 28 | |||
| BUY No | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | 77.4¢ | 129 | $100 | 50% | 28 | |||
| SELL Yes | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | 13.5¢ | 393 | $53 | 50% | 28 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | 15.3¢ | 393 | $60 | 50% | 28 |