PnL all-time+$11vol $8,830
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate51.9%adj 51.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$631cash n/a
Positions10 / 37open / all-time
Max drawdown−15.3%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$11below peak −$107Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale15
Adjusted win rateraw 51.9% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable52
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? · Yesclosed+$32Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? · Yesclosed+$28Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Noopen+$27Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference? · Yesclosed+$25Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? · Noopen+$25
Worst markets
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A? · Yesclosed−$115Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · Yesclosed−$46Will Real Madrid win La Liga? · Yesclosed−$18Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election? · Yesclosed−$14Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days? · Yesopen−$13
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting? | Yes | 200 | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | $200 | +$6.57 | $0 | |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | No | 120 | 77.8¢ | 100¢ | $120 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Yes | 70 | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | $70 | +$1.69 | +$15 | |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | No | 70 | 77¢ | 100¢ | $70 | +$16 | +$0.50 | |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | No | 70 | 65¢ | 100¢ | $70 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Mike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel? | Yes | 50 | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $50 | +$0.35 | $0 | |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring? | Yes | 50 | 93¢ | 100¢ | $50 | +$3.50 | $0 | |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days? | Yes | 120 | 10.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will AZ Alkmaar win the UEFA Europa League? | Yes | 79 | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.10 | $0 | |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference? | Yes | 50 | 9.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.90 | $0 |
Recent trades
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