sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

ncode123

0x13e…e01a
1y+PoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$416vol $94.5k
PnL 30d−$3.69gains $66 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1.40win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate44.4%adj 47.4% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions18 / 36open / all-time
Max drawdown−71.3%of equity peak
Account age2.4ylast trade 12h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$449below peak −$842Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale37
Adjusted win rateraw 44.4% · shrunk toward 50%18
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable52
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity29

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? · Yesclosed+$1,886Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$477Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? · Noclosed+$348Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$66Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Yesclosed+$42

Worst markets

Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? · Yesclosed−$1,324Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election? · Yesopen−$757Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election? · Yesopen−$105Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? · Yesclosed−$55Will Roy Cooper be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? · Yesclosed−$37

Open positions · 18

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes9,4508¢0¢$0−$757$0
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes6,0232.4¢0¢$0−$146+$41
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes1,0000.8¢0¢$0−$8.00$0
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes4001.8¢0¢$0−$7.19$0
Will the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?Yes2007¢0¢$0−$14$0
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?Yes10016¢0¢$0−$16$0
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?Yes157¢0¢$0−$1.05$0
Will the U.S. take over Gaza before July?Yes138.3¢0¢$0−$1.08$0
U.S. forces in Gaza before April?Yes138¢0¢$0−$1.04$0
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Yes1014¢0¢$0−$1.40$0
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?Yes1019¢0¢$0−$1.90$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes1026¢0¢$0−$2.60$0
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes1013¢0¢$0−$1.30$0
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico before May?Yes1018¢0¢$0−$1.80$0
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?Yes105.5¢0¢$0−$0.55$0
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?Yes1013.3¢0¢$0−$1.33$0
Will Trump remove tariff on China before March?Yes1010.5¢0¢$0−$1.05$0
Will Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?Yes1016¢0¢$0−$1.60$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?13.1¢1,755$22944%28
BUY YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?13.4¢15$2.0044%28
BUY YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?13.4¢224$3044%28
BUY YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?13.3¢10$1.3344%28
BUY YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?13.2¢1,506$19944%28
SELL YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?13.2¢930$12344%28
BUY YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?13.3¢930$12444%28
SELL YesWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1.4¢2,625$3644%28
SELL YesWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0.6¢2,538$1544%28
SELL YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?11.7¢1,500$17644%28
BUY YesWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1.1¢2,538$2844%28
BUY YesWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1.6¢2,625$4244%28
BUY YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?5¢1,500$7544%28
SELL NoConservatives win majority in Canadian election?44¢453$19944%28
SELL NoConservatives win majority in Canadian election?45¢73$3344%28
BUY YesWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?2.6¢350$9.0944%28
BUY YesWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?2.4¢1,000$2444%28
BUY YesWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?2.5¢10$0.2544%28
BUY YesWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?2.6¢1,000$2644%28
BUY YesWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?2.6¢40$1.0444%28