PnL all-time+$1,769vol $57.4k
PnL 30d−$29gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$29win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate88.5%adj 71.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,204cash n/a
Positions11 / 37open / all-time
Max drawdown−53.9%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 14h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,760below peak −$512Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale46
Adjusted win rateraw 88.5% · shrunk toward 50%79
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable52
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity46
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? · Yesclosed+$725Will Eric Adams drop out? · Yesclosed+$695Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-02? · Yesclosed+$422Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025? · Yesclosed+$382Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? · Yesclosed+$361
Worst markets
Will VVD win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election? · Yesopen−$950Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025? · Yesopen−$501Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? · Yesopen−$300Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31? · Yesopen−$2502025 September third hottest on record? · Yesopen−$243
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,926 | 63¢ | 62.5¢ | $1,204 | −$9.49 | $0 | |
| Will VVD win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election? | Yes | 1,415 | 67.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$950 | $0 | |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? | Yes | 1,340 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$67 | $0 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025? | Yes | 1,261 | 39.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$501 | $0 | |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary? | No | 1,208 | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | Yes | 829 | 24.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | $0 | |
| Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? | Yes | 638 | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$300 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $108K on July 9 at 5PM ET? | Yes | 534 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | $0 | |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025? | No | 529 | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$23 | $0 | |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be 40.0–41.9% on December 31? | Yes | 436 | 57.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$250 | $0 | |
| 2025 September third hottest on record? | Yes | 342 | 71.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$245 | +$1.89 |
Recent trades
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