sharpside
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Traders/Rank #909

frozenriver

0x143…acfe@xyzna42
SharpPnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Crypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$224kvol $15.1M
PnL 30d−$2,505gains $1,600 · losses $81
PnL 7d+$254win rate 7d 87.5%
Win rate80.3%adj 79.1% · 30d 87.5%
Open value$5,264cash n/a
Positions2,000 / 20,112open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.2%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 1mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$227kbelow peak −$20.7kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

73/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale76
Adjusted win rateraw 80.3% · shrunk toward 50%98
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? · Yesclosed+$84.2kWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? · Yesclosed+$46.3kWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? · Yesclosed+$42.1kWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · Yesclosed+$8,765Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? · Yesclosed+$7,440

Worst markets

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$5,187Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11? · Upopen−$1,667Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? · Noopen−$1,633Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? · Downopen−$1,377Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? · Downopen−$1,337

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No2,50083.2¢84.5¢$2,113+$33$0
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?No2,00022.5¢20.5¢$410−$40$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes2,00012¢5¢$100−$140$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6PM ETUp203k0.2¢0¢$0−$334$0
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9?Yes124k0.2¢0¢$0−$203+$0.16
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?Yes113k0.5¢0¢$0−$516+$148
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?Yes112k0.3¢0¢$0−$330−$3.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No111k0.6¢0¢$0−$638$0
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 3-9?Yes111k0.2¢0¢$0−$215+$27
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?No110k0.2¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on August 4?Yes110k0.1¢0¢$0−$110$0
Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?No101k0.1¢0¢$0−$101$0
Solana above $260 on January 31?Yes96.8k1¢0¢$0−$1,008−$32
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No82.1k0.7¢0¢$0−$535$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETUp81.0k0.8¢0¢$0−$610$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11PM ETUp72.4k0.1¢0¢$0−$74$0
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 4?Yes68.0k0.4¢0¢$0−$243$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Yes53.4k0.9¢0¢$0−$458$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 10?Yes50.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$64$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 6AM ETUp46.7k1.9¢0¢$0−$875$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10PM ETUp43.5k0.1¢0¢$0−$54$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 7PM ETUp42.0k1¢0¢$0−$430$0
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No41.0k1¢0¢$0−$403$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7PM ETDown39.0k1¢0¢$0−$392$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?Up38.7k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,667$0
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?No38.0k0.3¢0¢$0−$105$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6PM ETDown35.0k1.4¢0¢$0−$479$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ETUp34.0k1.1¢0¢$0−$380$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes33.6k15.2¢0¢$0−$5,091−$96
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10PM ETUp33.5k1¢0¢$0−$339$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 6AM ETUp32.7k1.3¢0¢$0−$421$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETUp32.6k0.5¢0¢$0−$163$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3PM ETDown31.2k0.1¢0¢$0−$31$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7PM ETUp31.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$31$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 11AM ETUp30.5k1.4¢0¢$0−$415$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 10AM ETUp30.3k1¢0¢$0−$307$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 7PM ETUp30.0k1.7¢0¢$0−$509$0
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Yes29.1k0.4¢0¢$0−$121+$785
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12PM ETDown28.7k1.1¢0¢$0−$305$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9PM ETDown28.0k1.2¢0¢$0−$340$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 10AM ETUp28.0k1.2¢0¢$0−$329$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 2PM ETUp27.5k1.2¢0¢$0−$325$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 6AM ETUp27.0k1¢0¢$0−$270$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7PM ETDown25.6k0.8¢0¢$0−$193$0
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 10AM ETDown25.2k1.3¢0¢$0−$322$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12AM ETUp23.6k2.1¢0¢$0−$490$0
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 3-9?Yes23.4k0.2¢0¢$0−$47+$4.89
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10AM ETDown23.3k1.3¢0¢$0−$308$0
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?Yes22.5k0.2¢0¢$0−$39$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Yes20.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$20$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4PM ETUp19.8k1.4¢0¢$0−$268$0
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 7PM ETUp19.2k1.4¢0¢$0−$276$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 10AM ETDown19.0k1¢0¢$0−$190$0
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Yes19.0k0.4¢0¢$0−$80+$2,412
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 3-9?Yes17.7k0.1¢0¢$0−$18+$9.16
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ETUp17.6k1¢0¢$0−$176$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 28?No17.5k0.2¢0¢$0−$36$0
Ethereum Up or Down on November 8?Down15.2k5.6¢0¢$0−$858$0
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on August 4?Yes15.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$20$0
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETUp14.6k0.8¢0¢$0−$117$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Yes14.0k3.3¢0¢$0−$459$0
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 2AM ETUp13.1k0.3¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on August 28?Yes13.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$19$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETDown13.0k5.1¢0¢$0−$664$0
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No12.9k4.5¢0¢$0−$581$0
Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETDown12.9k5.8¢0¢$0−$751$0
Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 6AM ETUp12.5k1.9¢0¢$0−$242$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETDown12.5k0.5¢0¢$0−$63$0
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 11AM ETUp12.5k1¢0¢$0−$128$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 4AM ETUp12.4k1.2¢0¢$0−$154$0
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 12AM ETDown12.4k0.1¢0¢$0−$12$0
XRP Up or Down on October 11?Up12.0k3.7¢0¢$0−$450$0
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on August 5?Yes12.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$15$0
Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETUp12.0k6¢0¢$0−$720$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No12.0k1.6¢0¢$0−$190$0
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No11.8k5.5¢0¢$0−$646$0
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 12AM ETDown11.6k0.3¢0¢$0−$37$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETUp11.6k2.3¢0¢$0−$265$0
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12AM ETUp11.6k5.1¢0¢$0−$590$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 28?No11.5k0.7¢0¢$0−$83$0
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12AM ETUp11.5k4¢0¢$0−$458$0
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 1PM ETDown11.4k2.2¢0¢$0−$254$0
Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 6PM ETDown11.3k3.8¢0¢$0−$428$0
XRP Up or Down - April 8, 10AM ETUp11.3k0.2¢0¢$0−$28$0
Solana above $240 on February 7?Yes11.3k4.9¢0¢$0−$550+$141
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 7PM ETUp11.2k0.2¢0¢$0−$22$0
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 10PM ETUp11.2k0.3¢0¢$0−$30$0
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 7PM ETDown11.2k0.2¢0¢$0−$25$0
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?No11.1k0.2¢0¢$0−$17$0
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on June 30, 2026?No11.1k0.2¢0¢$0−$25$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETUp11.1k0.2¢0¢$0−$23$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETUp11.1k0.2¢0¢$0−$23$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETUp11.1k0.2¢0¢$0−$23$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETUp11.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$21$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on June 30, 2026?Yes11.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.00 on June 30, 2026?Yes11.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $8.00 on June 30, 2026?Yes11.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$20$0
XRP Up or Down - April 8, 1AM ETDown11.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$20$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETUp11.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$20$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETDown11.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$20$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?0.3¢14.7k$4480%73Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?5¢200$1080%73Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?11¢1,844$20380%73Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?10¢200$2080%73Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?10¢5,000$50080%73Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?9¢1,927$17380%73Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?15.5¢299$4680%73Sharp
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?15.4¢490$7580%73Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?3.7¢322$1280%73Sharp
SELL YesWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?0.3¢236$0.7180%73Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?4¢754$3080%73Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?1.2¢3,000$3680%73Sharp
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?1.2¢9,500$11480%73Sharp
SELL NoWill Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?68.9¢200$13880%73Sharp
BUY YesWill BNB reach $800 in May?0.8¢595$4.9380%73Sharp
BUY NoWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31?97.9¢174$17180%73Sharp
BUY NoWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 45 by May 31?78.8¢47$3780%73Sharp
BUY NoWill "Apartheid" be in the headlines this week?78¢10$7.8080%73Sharp
BUY YesWill Claude Code Commits be between 550.0k and 600.0k on June 30?10¢60$6.0080%73Sharp
BUY YesWill 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?0.1¢100k$10080%73Sharp