PnL all-time−$10vol $13.4k
PnL 30d+$15gains $0 · losses $31
PnL 7d−$2.46win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate66.7%adj 60.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$215cash n/a
Positions3 / 36open / all-time
Max drawdown−66.7%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1.10below peak −$418Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 66.7% · shrunk toward 50%51
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable52
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity33
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026? · Yesclosed+$184Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? · Yesclosed+$133Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 8, 2026? · Yesclosed+$56Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026? · Yesclosed+$43Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? · Yesclosed+$37
Worst markets
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? · Yesopen−$373Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Downclosed−$100Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? · Yesclosed−$31Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Upclosed−$10Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Downclosed−$10
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 230 | 87¢ | 86.5¢ | $199 | −$1.15 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 36 | 43¢ | 44.5¢ | $16 | +$0.54 | +$15 | |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 783 | 47.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$373 | $0 |
Recent trades
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