PnL all-time+$177kvol $5.21M
PnL 30d−$7,259gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$7,259win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate92.3%adj 85.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$517kcash n/a
Positions4 / 108open / all-time
Max drawdown−15.2%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$169kbelow peak −$8,573Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
79/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale75
Adjusted win rateraw 92.3% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? · Noclosed+$28.5kWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · Yesclosed+$27.0kWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Noclosed+$26.3kWill Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea? · Noclosed+$11.7kWill the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election? · Yesclosed+$8,771
Worst markets
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yesopen−$6,525Maduro out in 2025? · Noclosed−$4,227Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence? · Noclosed−$3,440Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? · Noclosed−$2,671Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in October? · Noclosed−$1,588
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 435k | 92¢ | 90.5¢ | $394k | −$6,525 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 109k | 92¢ | 91.5¢ | $100.0k | −$546 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 25.0k | 91¢ | 90.5¢ | $22.6k | −$125 | $0 | |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 13.9k | 3.5¢ | 3¢ | $417 | −$70 | $0 |
Recent trades
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