PnL all-time−$1,363vol $512k
PnL 30d+$11.8kgains $162 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$348win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 68.8% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$448kcash n/a
Positions10 / 23open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.7ylast trade 4d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$18.1kbelow peak −$2,141Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
21/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%72
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable45
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d86
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 289k | 91.7¢ | 96.7¢ | $279k | +$14.4k | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 79.2k | 96¢ | 97.4¢ | $77.1k | +$1,092 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 77.7k | 85.2¢ | 90.5¢ | $70.3k | +$4,083 | $0 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 17.5k | 94.8¢ | 96¢ | $16.8k | +$205 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 13.8k | 22.8¢ | 20.1¢ | $2,775 | −$384 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,745 | 76.6¢ | 78.5¢ | $1,370 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 796 | 85.2¢ | 97.6¢ | $777 | +$99 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | 90¢ | 96.7¢ | $193 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 10.2k | 6.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$621 | −$6.17 | |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | Carlos Alcaraz | 2,532 | 79¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,000 | −$21 |
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