PnL all-time+$143kvol $29.2M
PnL 30d−$1,778gains $111 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate75.2%adj 74.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$277kcash n/a
Positions6 / 927open / all-time
Max drawdown−9.1%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 36d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$147kbelow peak −$4,063Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
72/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 75.2% · shrunk toward 50%86
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? · Yesclosed+$280kWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? · Yesclosed+$191kWill Norway vs. England end in a draw? · Yesclosed+$191kWill Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? · Yesclosed+$135kWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen+$135k
Worst markets
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 276k | 50¢ | 98.8¢ | $273k | +$135k | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 276k | 50¢ | 1.3¢ | $3,451 | −$135k | $0 | |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 836 | 72.3¢ | 92.5¢ | $774 | +$169 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 11.5k | 26.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,054 | −$47 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 6,885 | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$145 | $0 | |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | No | 1,726 | 22.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$393 | −$12 |
Recent trades
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