PnL all-time+$233vol $35.9k
PnL 30d−$0.65gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$3.30win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate78.7%adj 73.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$434cash n/a
Positions10 / 99open / all-time
Max drawdown−98.8%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$245below peak −$980Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale34
Adjusted win rateraw 78.7% · shrunk toward 50%84
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity1
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? · Yesclosed+$1,088Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? · Noclosed+$81Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yesclosed+$72Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$61Internet access restored in Iran by Friday? · Noclosed+$58
Worst markets
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? · Noopen−$200Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025? · Yesclosed−$200Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? · Yesclosed−$200Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? · Noclosed−$147Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yesclosed−$135
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo? | No | 205 | 97.5¢ | 95.5¢ | $196 | −$4.14 | $0 | |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | Yes | 128 | 78¢ | 100¢ | $128 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 110 | 90.6¢ | 99.3¢ | $110 | +$9.54 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? | No | 318 | 62.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$200 | $0 | |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | Canadiens | 105 | 38¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | −$0.62 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Yes | 77 | 13¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.35 | |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? | No | 63 | 80¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$0.40 | |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Hurricanes | 33 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.03 | |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Raptors | 29 | 33.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | −$0.20 | |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | Sabres | 25 | 20.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | −$0.12 |
Recent trades
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