PnL all-time−$16.0kvol $2.66M
PnL 30d−$1,159gains $341 · losses $25
PnL 7d−$403win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate68.9%adj 67.9% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$183cash n/a
Positions148 / 514open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 20h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$15.9kbelow peak −$16.3kOct 14
SharpScore inputs
39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 68.9% · shrunk toward 50%70
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4? · Yesclosed+$5,922Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,213Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · Yesclosed+$485Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$386Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Yesclosed+$341
Worst markets
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 360 | 25¢ | 17.5¢ | $63 | −$27 | $0 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 625 | 8¢ | 8¢ | $50 | $0 | −$10 | |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 554 | 7.2¢ | 4.5¢ | $25 | −$15 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | No | 1,334 | 3¢ | 1.8¢ | $24 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Iran invades Kuwait by October 31? | Yes | 1,090 | 0.9¢ | 1.9¢ | $21 | +$11 | $0 |
Recent trades
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