sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,081

Ferwhere

0x152…a549
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$189kvol $18.2M
PnL 30d−$5,419gains $17 · losses $4,382
PnL 7d−$2,185win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate20.5%adj 26.2% · 30d 16.7%
Open value$37.6kcash n/a
Positions85 / 168open / all-time
Max drawdown−31.3%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$174kbelow peak −$77.8kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

50/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale75
Adjusted win rateraw 20.5% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable74
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity69

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 85

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes687k2.4¢2.3¢$15.8k−$444−$140
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes413k7.3¢3.5¢$14.5k−$15.6k−$179
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?No21.7k21.7¢20.5¢$4,442−$259$0
Plague pandemic in 2026?Yes58.0k5.6¢4.1¢$2,348−$877$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes17.9k5.6¢1.8¢$314−$686$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes22.1k4.5¢0.5¢$99−$901$0
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes9,7604.1¢0.8¢$73−$327$0
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes14.2k0.6¢0.3¢$35−$55$0
US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026?Yes3176.3¢9.5¢$30+$10$0
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?Yes10818.5¢11.7¢$13−$7.34$0
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes9091.1¢0.3¢$2.27−$7.73$0
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1.09M0.1¢0¢$0−$1,087−$33
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1.00M0.1¢0¢$0−$999−$30
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1.00M0.1¢0¢$0−$999−$30
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes330k2.5¢0¢$0−$8,129−$237
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes256k2.5¢0¢$0−$6,489$0
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes250k0.2¢0¢$0−$500−$15
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes229k2.4¢0¢$0−$5,589−$155
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes219k0.6¢0¢$0−$1,300+$474
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes183k0.1¢0¢$0−$183−$6.49
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Khamzat Chimaev110k1¢0¢$0−$1,100−$33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes97.6k1.7¢0¢$0−$1,650−$2,152
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes90.9k1.3¢0¢$0−$1,155$0
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?No80.8k1.5¢0¢$0−$1,200−$59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes42.5k3.9¢0¢$0−$1,666−$1,861
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Yes41.8k4.8¢0¢$0−$2,000−$57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes33.8k4.7¢0¢$0−$1,599$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes26.1k5.4¢0¢$0−$1,400−$2,031
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes19.3k40.8¢0¢$0−$7,884−$232
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes18.5k42.8¢0¢$0−$7,923−$126
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes15.2k3.9¢0¢$0−$600−$29
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?Yes14.9k2.7¢0¢$0−$400−$19
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?Yes11.8k4.4¢0¢$0−$519−$1,098
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes10.0k5¢0¢$0−$500−$24
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?Yes9,2867.5¢0¢$0−$700−$19
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes8,8257.4¢0¢$0−$650−$2,718
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?Yes5,6118.9¢0¢$0−$500−$23
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Yes5,55627¢0¢$0−$1,500−$55
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes5,0000.5¢0¢$0−$25−$1.24
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by December 31, 2026?No4,82310.2¢0¢$0−$490−$17
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceUnited States4,72131¢0¢$0−$1,464−$30
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes4,44445¢0¢$0−$2,000−$33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes4,2792.1¢0¢$0−$90−$4.41
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue JaysPittsburgh Pirates4,2683.5¢0¢$0−$150−$4.34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?Yes3,96913.4¢0¢$0−$534−$29
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvancePortugal3,89738¢0¢$0−$1,481−$28
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?Yes3,69217.1¢0¢$0−$630$0
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor3,55229¢0¢$0−$1,030−$37
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?Yes3,3718.9¢0¢$0−$300$0
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceEngland3,25855.2¢0¢$0−$1,800−$40
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes3,12516¢0¢$0−$500−$13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes3,00314.2¢0¢$0−$425$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes2,8374.2¢0¢$0−$120$0
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?No2,64813.2¢0¢$0−$350$0
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?Yes2,6323.8¢0¢$0−$100−$4.81
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes2,5207.6¢0¢$0−$192−$5.31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?Yes2,40629.1¢0¢$0−$700−$35
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)Waldo Cortes-Acosta2,21335.2¢0¢$0−$779−$14
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes2,0904.8¢0¢$0−$101−$2.88
Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 AL East title?Yes2,0347.4¢0¢$0−$150−$4.17
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes1,96720.3¢0¢$0−$400$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?No1,93321.1¢0¢$0−$407−$13
Brazil to score first vs. Norway?Yes1,65760.3¢0¢$0−$1,000−$12
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?Yes1,4477.2¢0¢$0−$105$0
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?Yes1,25024¢0¢$0−$300−$6.84
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes1,15317.3¢0¢$0−$200−$4.44
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?Yes1,08312¢0¢$0−$130−$3.43
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026?No1,04812.9¢0¢$0−$135−$4.59
Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceMexico1,04248¢0¢$0−$500−$7.80
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBrazil1,01567¢0¢$0−$680−$6.73
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?Yes99716¢0¢$0−$160−$4.02
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)Tatsuro Taira83424¢0¢$0−$200−$4.57
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes62516¢0¢$0−$100−$2.52
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?Yes58817¢0¢$0−$100−$2.49
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes50020¢0¢$0−$100−$4.00
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?Yes45522¢0¢$0−$100−$2.34
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?Yes41724¢0¢$0−$100−$2.28
Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes36427.4¢0¢$0−$100−$3.63
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes33330¢0¢$0−$100−$2.10
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes2522¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?No19725.4¢0¢$0−$50−$1.49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes3017¢0¢$0−$5.11$0
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?Down1632¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes73.1¢0¢$0−$0.23−$4,292
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes730¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.04

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesPlague pandemic in 2026?5.8¢21.3k$1,22521%50
BUY YesWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2.6¢57.7k$1,50021%50
BUY YesPlague pandemic in 2026?5.5¢36.7k$2,00021%50
BUY YesUS plague travel ban on Russia in 2026?6.3¢317$2021%50
BUY NoAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?28.9¢6,466$1,86821%50
BUY NoAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?19.6¢7,664$1,50021%50
BUY YesWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?4.4¢1,113$4921%50
BUY YesWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?6.6¢71.5k$4,73121%50
BUY YesWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?4.4¢1,118$4921%50
BUY YesWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?4.8¢99.3k$4,80021%50
BUY YesWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?4.9¢39.3k$1,91821%50
BUY YesWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?4.9¢20.9k$1,01721%50
SELL NoWill Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?42.4¢115$4921%50
SELL YesWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?6.6¢3,270$21621%50
SELL YesWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?10.9¢5,455$59721%50
SELL YesWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?4.5¢5,512$24921%50
BUY NoAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?17.7¢7,540$1,33421%50
BUY YesWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1.9¢30.9k$60021%50
BUY YesWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?5.7¢10.5k$60021%50
BUY YesWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?5.6¢17.9k$1,00021%50