| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 7,400 | 83.6¢ | 82.5¢ | $6,105 | −$84 | +$1,039 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 4,000 | 92¢ | 90.5¢ | $3,620 | −$60 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3,500 | 88.6¢ | 90.5¢ | $3,168 | +$68 | $0 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 2,000 | 98.6¢ | 99¢ | $1,979 | +$7.00 | $0 | |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 2,100 | 87.5¢ | 89.5¢ | $1,880 | +$42 | +$280 | |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2,000 | 85¢ | 88.5¢ | $1,770 | +$70 | $0 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 3,137 | 46.5¢ | 51.7¢ | $1,620 | +$162 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 2,200 | 67.1¢ | 69.5¢ | $1,529 | +$54 | $0 | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 1,709 | 83.5¢ | 89¢ | $1,521 | +$95 | +$200 | |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 2,100 | 76.5¢ | 71.5¢ | $1,502 | −$104 | +$5.00 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 1,500 | 86¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,358 | +$68 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1,350 | 79.6¢ | 87.1¢ | $1,175 | +$100 | +$119 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1,200 | 86¢ | 89.5¢ | $1,074 | +$42 | +$29 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 1,650 | 56.4¢ | 64.5¢ | $1,064 | +$133 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,350 | 63.3¢ | 62.5¢ | $844 | −$11 | +$5.00 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 1,000 | 83.2¢ | 82.5¢ | $825 | −$7.00 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 950 | 74.2¢ | 86.5¢ | $822 | +$117 | $0 | |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher? | No | 800 | 91.3¢ | 95.2¢ | $762 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 700 | 91¢ | 92.5¢ | $648 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 800 | 83¢ | 79.5¢ | $636 | −$28 | +$24 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 650 | 87¢ | 87.5¢ | $569 | +$3.25 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 800 | 72¢ | 70.5¢ | $564 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 600 | 77¢ | 85.5¢ | $513 | +$51 | −$9.00 | |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 530 | 87.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $485 | +$21 | +$5.41 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 500 | 93¢ | 96.4¢ | $482 | +$17 | +$24 | |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? | Yes | 600 | 58.4¢ | 78.8¢ | $473 | +$122 | $0 | |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? | No | 491 | 65.3¢ | 96¢ | $472 | +$151 | +$3.60 | |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 500 | 73¢ | 85.2¢ | $426 | +$61 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 600 | 88¢ | 70¢ | $420 | −$108 | +$50 | |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | No | 500 | 81¢ | 81.5¢ | $407 | +$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | 94¢ | 95¢ | $380 | +$4.00 | $0 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026? | No | 400 | 84.6¢ | 94.4¢ | $377 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | 500 | 67¢ | 73¢ | $365 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | No | 400 | 88¢ | 88.5¢ | $354 | +$2.00 | +$16 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 600 | 64¢ | 58.5¢ | $351 | −$33 | $0 | |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? | No | 400 | 88¢ | 87.5¢ | $350 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | No | 400 | 61¢ | 80.5¢ | $322 | +$78 | $0 | |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | No | 400 | 82¢ | 80.5¢ | $322 | −$6.00 | $0 | |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | No | 400 | 83¢ | 79.5¢ | $318 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | No | 1,000 | 26¢ | 29.5¢ | $295 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | 83¢ | 89.5¢ | $269 | +$20 | $0 | |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 313 | 90¢ | 84.5¢ | $264 | −$17 | +$23 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 300 | 78¢ | 86.5¢ | $260 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | No | 500 | 46¢ | 45.5¢ | $228 | −$2.50 | $0 | |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | No | 600 | 33¢ | 33.5¢ | $201 | +$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 200 | 89.3¢ | 99.6¢ | $199 | +$21 | +$24 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026? | No | 214 | 86¢ | 91.5¢ | $196 | +$12 | +$34 | |
| Halle Berry as Storm? | No | 220 | 77.5¢ | 85¢ | $187 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Discord IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 173 | 87.9¢ | 96.7¢ | $167 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? | Yes | 200 | 88¢ | 82.5¢ | $165 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | No | 200 | 70.3¢ | 65.4¢ | $131 | −$9.73 | +$4.93 | |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31? | No | 300 | 53.2¢ | 40.5¢ | $121 | −$38 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 250 | 26¢ | 37.5¢ | $94 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50? | No | 148 | 17.8¢ | 61.5¢ | $91 | +$65 | +$3.65 | |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | No | 211 | 40¢ | 40.5¢ | $85 | +$1.05 | +$16 | |
| Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? | No | 270 | 46¢ | 29.5¢ | $80 | −$45 | +$1.20 | |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 80 | 80¢ | 89.5¢ | $72 | +$7.61 | $0 | |
| Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 91 | 53.4¢ | 78.5¢ | $71 | +$23 | +$9.55 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 100 | 59¢ | 70.5¢ | $71 | +$12 | +$5.00 | |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | Yes | 72 | 89.5¢ | 88¢ | $64 | −$1.09 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 400 | 10¢ | 15.5¢ | $62 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Waymo IPO before 2027? | No | 57 | 87.1¢ | 98.1¢ | $56 | +$6.24 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 49 | 94¢ | 99.6¢ | $49 | +$2.74 | +$0.20 | |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 50 | 86¢ | 95.1¢ | $48 | +$4.58 | +$17 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 50 | 88¢ | 92.6¢ | $46 | +$2.27 | +$8.80 | |
| Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by October 31? | No | 51 | 76¢ | 90¢ | $46 | +$7.14 | $0 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | No | 46 | 82¢ | 88.5¢ | $41 | +$3.00 | $0 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 22¢ | 5.5¢ | $28 | −$83 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 27 | 61¢ | 78.5¢ | $21 | +$4.67 | +$54 | |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | Yes | 19 | 79¢ | 89.5¢ | $17 | +$2.01 | +$0.60 | |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 18 | 84¢ | 85.5¢ | $16 | +$0.27 | +$41 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | No | 18 | 59¢ | 70.5¢ | $13 | +$2.08 | $0 | |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | 60 | 33¢ | 12.5¢ | $7.50 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? | No | 5 | 87¢ | 94¢ | $4.70 | +$0.35 | $0 | |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 4 | 75¢ | 92¢ | $3.39 | +$0.63 | +$0.56 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 4 | 67¢ | 58.5¢ | $2.40 | −$0.35 | +$7.46 | |
| Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? | Yes | 1 | 86¢ | 96.4¢ | $1.10 | +$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20.0k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | No | 3,329 | 63.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,112 | +$24 | |
| Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | 2,603 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.21 | +$28 | |
| Starmer out by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 2,000 | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 1,921 | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$64 | −$480 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | No | 1,516 | 20.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$309 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 1,500 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$180 | $0 | |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | No | 1,400 | 24.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$338 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | Yes | 1,100 | 9.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$103 | +$1.60 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14? | Yes | 1,000 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 5.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$51 | $0 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 3.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$38 | $0 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 870 | 78¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$678 | −$372 | |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? | No | 700 | 72.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$506 | +$8.82 | |
| Rockstar confirms GTA VI gameplay leaked? | No | 600 | 27¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$162 | $0 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | No | 500 | 22.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$115 | $0 | |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%? | Yes | 500 | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m? | Yes | 500 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$35 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Epstein suicide note released by May 31? | Yes | 500 | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | No | 420 | 8.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$34 | −$357 | |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m? | Yes | 400 | 8.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$36 | −$208 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | No | 400 | 88¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$352 | +$72 | |
