| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,299 | 79.4¢ | 48.7¢ | $1,120 | −$706 | $0 | |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September? | No | 340 | 75¢ | 89¢ | $302 | +$48 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 333 | 90¢ | 89.5¢ | $298 | −$1.67 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 382 | 63¢ | 69¢ | $263 | +$23 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,134 | 63¢ | 20.5¢ | $233 | −$482 | $0 | |
| Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | No | 244 | 63.9¢ | 93.5¢ | $228 | +$72 | −$51 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | No | 278 | 83.4¢ | 82¢ | $228 | −$3.78 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 25%-30%? | No | 214 | 81.9¢ | 78.5¢ | $168 | −$7.27 | $0 | |
| Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September? | No | 184 | 71.8¢ | 88¢ | $162 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 165 | 85.1¢ | 93.8¢ | $155 | +$14 | −$2.57 | |
| Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | No | 163 | 82.9¢ | 92.5¢ | $151 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | No | 162 | 82.9¢ | 93.1¢ | $151 | +$16 | +$7.46 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 185 | 61.9¢ | 76.5¢ | $141 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | No | 263 | 60.5¢ | 53¢ | $139 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will Jenee Fleenor (fiddle) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | No | 150 | 84¢ | 93¢ | $139 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 145 | 86¢ | 93.5¢ | $136 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 149 | 84¢ | 90.5¢ | $135 | +$9.67 | $0 | |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 145 | 86.4¢ | 86.7¢ | $125 | +$0.39 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 55%-60%? | No | 177 | 77.8¢ | 68.5¢ | $121 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 60% or more? | No | 149 | 90¢ | 76.1¢ | $114 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 121 | 80.3¢ | 84¢ | $102 | +$4.46 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 50%-55%? | No | 124 | 84¢ | 77.4¢ | $96 | −$8.21 | $0 | |
| Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | No | 99 | 82.2¢ | 95¢ | $94 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 101 | 69.5¢ | 90.5¢ | $92 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will “Gary” by Stephen Wilson Jr. win Song of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | No | 93 | 89¢ | 98.5¢ | $91 | +$8.78 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 99 | 71¢ | 81.5¢ | $81 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | No | 95 | 81.7¢ | 85¢ | $81 | +$3.14 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 45%-50%? | No | 105 | 82¢ | 74.4¢ | $78 | −$7.99 | $0 | |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? | No | 126 | 67.9¢ | 61.5¢ | $78 | −$8.09 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 6%-9%? | No | 91 | 77.1¢ | 85¢ | $77 | +$7.20 | $0 | |
| Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | No | 81 | 82.7¢ | 94.3¢ | $76 | +$9.38 | +$7.14 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 3%-6%? | No | 85 | 77.3¢ | 83.5¢ | $71 | +$5.26 | $0 | |
| Will “Parker McCollum” by Parker McCollum win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | No | 69 | 88.8¢ | 93.7¢ | $64 | +$3.30 | $0 | |
| Will Alexi Giannoulias win the 2027 Chicago mayoral election? | Yes | 93 | 51.8¢ | 67¢ | $63 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 75 | 61.6¢ | 82¢ | $62 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 30%-35%? | No | 63 | 81.4¢ | 88.7¢ | $56 | +$4.58 | $0 | |
| Will Don Toliver be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | Yes | 60 | 58.1¢ | 86.5¢ | $52 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 50 | 78¢ | 82¢ | $41 | +$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 50%-55%? | No | 54 | 65.4¢ | 74.5¢ | $41 | +$4.96 | $0 | |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 40 | 50¢ | 87.5¢ | $35 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 35%-40%? | No | 43 | 68.4¢ | 81.5¢ | $35 | +$5.58 | $0 | |
| Will Sean Parnell be the next confirmed Army Secretary? | No | 40 | 71¢ | 86.5¢ | $35 | +$6.20 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 House election by 25%-30%? | No | 44 | 72¢ | 72.5¢ | $32 | +$0.22 | $0 | |
| Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? | No | 38 | 68.7¢ | 82¢ | $31 | +$5.09 | $0 | |
| Will Amber Glenn win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | No | 35 | 85¢ | 88¢ | $31 | +$1.05 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October? | No | 32 | 80¢ | 87.5¢ | $28 | +$2.44 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 55% or more? | No | 34 | 72.1¢ | 84¢ | $28 | +$3.99 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-08 House election by 65%-70%? | No | 29 | 87.8¢ | 93.5¢ | $27 | +$1.69 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-14 House election by 40%-45%? | No | 39 | 87.2¢ | 70¢ | $27 | −$6.71 | $0 | |
| Will Harry Shum Jr. win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? | No | 30 | 81¢ | 90.5¢ | $27 | +$2.85 | $0 | |
| Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | No | 38 | 76¢ | 70¢ | $27 | −$2.30 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 10%-15%? | No | 39 | 63¢ | 65¢ | $25 | +$0.77 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 9%-12%? | No | 30 | 71.3¢ | 80.5¢ | $24 | +$2.75 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-05 House election by 25%-30%? | No | 34 | 73.7¢ | 68.2¢ | $23 | −$1.85 | $0 | |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 26 | 92¢ | 86.5¢ | $23 | −$1.43 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 30 | 56.1¢ | 70.6¢ | $21 | +$4.32 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-10 House election by 10%-15%? | No | 33 | 60.9¢ | 62.7¢ | $21 | +$0.60 | $0 | |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of October 5 2026? | No | 20 | 95¢ | 97.7¢ | $20 | +$0.55 | $0 | |
| Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 20 | 80¢ | 93.1¢ | $19 | +$2.65 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? | No | 28 | 54¢ | 67.5¢ | $19 | +$3.76 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-06 House election by 65%-70%? | No | 20 | 81¢ | 93.5¢ | $19 | +$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September? | No | 18 | 87¢ | 96.6¢ | $18 | +$1.76 | $0 | |
| Will Andy Kim vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 19 | 75.9¢ | 91.9¢ | $18 | +$3.07 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 House election by 30%-35%? | No | 20 | 74.4¢ | 87.5¢ | $17 | +$2.62 | $0 | |
| Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | No | 17 | 76.3¢ | 93.5¢ | $16 | +$2.88 | −$27 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 105 | 37.2¢ | 14.5¢ | $15 | −$24 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 30%-35%? | No | 20 | 76¢ | 75.5¢ | $15 | −$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-12 House election by 10%-15%? | No | 19 | 61.5¢ | 75.4¢ | $15 | +$2.67 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 35%-40%? | No | 20 | 70¢ | 70.5¢ | $14 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 15 | 80¢ | 93.1¢ | $14 | +$1.96 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-06 House election by 60%-65%? | No | 20 | 70¢ | 66¢ | $13 | −$0.80 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? | No | 15 | 77¢ | 78.5¢ | $12 | +$0.22 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 40%-45%? | No | 15 | 58¢ | 73.5¢ | $11 | +$2.32 | $0 | |
| Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | No | 10 | 74¢ | 92.5¢ | $9.51 | +$1.91 | +$3.53 | |
| Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? | No | 10 | 84¢ | 92.5¢ | $9.24 | +$0.85 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? | No | 10 | 74¢ | 77.5¢ | $7.74 | +$0.35 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | 78¢ | 76.5¢ | $7.54 | −$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 6%-9%? | No | 10 | 79.8¢ | 75.5¢ | $7.47 | −$0.42 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 9 | 58.6¢ | 75.6¢ | $6.80 | +$1.53 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 15 | 35¢ | 37.5¢ | $5.51 | +$0.37 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 7 | 58¢ | 74.5¢ | $5.20 | +$1.15 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 18% or more? | No | 6 | 89¢ | 75.5¢ | $4.52 | −$0.81 | $0 | |
| Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 6 | 74.8¢ | 80¢ | $4.40 | +$0.28 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 15%-18%? | No | 6 | 81¢ | 69.9¢ | $4.13 | −$0.66 | $0 | |
| Will Steve Martin win the next Devonport mayoral election? | No | 7 | 76¢ | 62¢ | $4.07 | −$0.92 | $0 | |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 13 | 33¢ | 29.5¢ | $3.92 | −$0.46 | $0 | |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 17 | 51¢ | 22.5¢ | $3.87 | −$4.91 | $0 | |
| Will the Labour Party candidate win 45-50% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | No | 89 | 84.2¢ | 4.4¢ | $3.86 | −$71 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 266 | 53¢ | 1.2¢ | $3.05 | −$138 | $0 | |
| Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election? | Yes | 7 | 28¢ | 42¢ | $2.95 | +$0.98 | $0 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | Yes | 8 | 72.5¢ | 36.2¢ | $2.82 | −$2.84 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? | No | 3 | 62¢ | 78¢ | $2.72 | +$0.56 | $0 | |
| Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | Yes | 33 | 54.4¢ | 6.5¢ | $2.14 | −$16 | −$12 | |
| Will the Green Party candidate win 30-35% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | No | 40 | 74¢ | 5.3¢ | $2.10 | −$27 | $0 | |
| Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? | No | 6 | 45¢ | 30.5¢ | $1.96 | −$0.93 | $0 | |
| Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland? | No | 2 | 51¢ | 92¢ | $1.86 | +$0.83 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 45%-50%? | No | 2 | 67¢ | 87.9¢ | $1.75 | +$0.41 | $0 | |
| Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? | Yes | 2 | 27¢ | 69.5¢ | $1.55 | +$0.95 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | Yes | 5 | 38¢ | 25¢ | $1.32 | −$0.68 | $0 | |
| Will Cody Johnson win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | No | 1 | 62¢ | 47.5¢ | $0.61 | −$0.19 | $0 | |