sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #3,507

0x888888888

0x158…bdde
PoliticsOtherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$38.5kvol $2.97M
PnL 30d−$162kgains $39.5k · losses $31.9k
PnL 7d+$10.7kwin rate 7d 47.6%
Win rate47.6%adj 47.7% · 30d 47.6%
Open value$6,294cash n/a
Positions523 / 3,547open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 8m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$27.6kbelow peak −$37.0kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 47.6% · shrunk toward 50%19
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION1,49152.3¢100¢$1,490+$711+$423
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sangal (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup PlayoffsSangal1,09428.6¢48¢$525+$212$0
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?No46571¢67¢$312−$19−$9.71
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes45760.1¢58.3¢$266−$8.18−$254
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?No25288¢90.5¢$228+$6.34−$90
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Yes30080¢70.5¢$212−$29$0
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?No26564¢62¢$164−$5.30−$33
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes20077.5¢71.6¢$143−$12−$73
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?No25046¢41.5¢$104−$11−$5.87
Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?No12084¢81¢$97−$3.60−$11
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes30128¢26.5¢$80−$4.54+$22
Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes10085.6¢76.6¢$77−$8.95−$23
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Yes22536¢25.5¢$57−$24+$38
Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?No12054¢46.5¢$56−$9.00$0
Will Emma Myers be the live-action Gwen Stacy?No6590¢75¢$49−$9.82$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No5090¢86¢$43−$2.00−$100
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?No5080¢74¢$37−$2.99−$14
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes9955.5¢37¢$36−$18+$14
Will Real Sociedad reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League Round of 16?No8050¢45¢$36−$4.00$0
Will the Montreal Canadiens make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?Yes5764¢62.5¢$35−$0.85$0
Scorigami in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL season?No5076¢70.5¢$35−$2.75−$7.80
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 70,000 and 75,000?No4580¢71.5¢$32−$3.83−$3.00
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?Yes4579¢69¢$31−$4.50−$1.81
Will Real Madrid finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 LaLiga season?No12033.5¢24.9¢$30−$10$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?Yes30015¢9.5¢$29−$17+$83
Will Raphinha (Barcelona) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?No5656.1¢49.4¢$28−$3.75−$5.43
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?Yes10048¢26.5¢$27−$22$0
Will Jahmyr Gibbs have 999.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No12026¢21.5¢$26−$5.40$0
Will the Winnipeg Jets record 90+ points?No4067¢62.5¢$25−$1.80$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?No5054¢49.5¢$25−$2.25−$3.94
Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Yes30030.3¢8.2¢$25−$66−$13
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?Yes5058¢47.5¢$24−$5.25$0
Will Real Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?No12023¢19.5¢$23−$4.20$0
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes10025.2¢22.8¢$23−$2.40+$95
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Yes5054¢45.5¢$23−$4.25$0
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes3368¢69¢$23+$0.33−$15
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?No2786¢83.6¢$22−$0.65−$456
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes5448¢41.5¢$22−$3.51+$6.92
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes5047¢44¢$22−$1.50$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3007.8¢7.2¢$22−$1.65+$101
Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?No5075¢42¢$21−$17$0
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?Yes20216.2¢10.4¢$21−$12+$58
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes19916.2¢10.5¢$21−$11+$24
Will Tom Holland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026?Yes12031¢17.5¢$21−$16$0
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Yes30010.1¢7¢$21−$9.45+$21
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? No4058¢51.5¢$21−$2.60−$4.80
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?Yes5043¢39.5¢$20−$1.75$0
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes4051¢49¢$20−$0.80−$0.10
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?Yes4084¢48.8¢$20−$14$0
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Yes4073¢48¢$19−$10−$5.07
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No6033¢31¢$19−$1.20+$9.03
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Yes12018¢14.5¢$17−$4.20+$31
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Watermelon?Yes15033¢11.5¢$17−$32$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?Yes11829¢14.5¢$17−$17+$23
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?Yes24911¢6.5¢$16−$11−$1.23
Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes15012.3¢10.6¢$16−$2.54+$8.05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes4081¢39¢$16−$17$0
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes2079¢77.5¢$16−$0.30$0
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No1888.4¢86.9¢$15−$0.27−$630
Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government?Yes6033¢25.5¢$15−$4.50$0
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?No5039.7¢30.6¢$15−$4.55+$21
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?No3847¢40¢$15−$2.66+$0.07
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?Yes2079¢75.5¢$15−$0.70−$0.19
Will Conor McGregor rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?No2078¢74.5¢$15−$0.70$0
Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026?Yes8639¢17.3¢$15−$19+$3.77
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No2463¢62¢$15−$0.24$0
Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?Yes7618.2¢19¢$14+$0.60+$10
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?Yes4039¢34¢$14−$2.00+$5.97
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No1786¢78.5¢$13−$1.27−$43
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?No7022¢18.5¢$13−$2.45+$67
Will Arizona have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No2072¢63.5¢$13−$1.70$0
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes1966¢65.5¢$13−$0.10−$6.40
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes4151.1¢30.5¢$13−$8.52+$0.75
Will NC State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No2072¢62.5¢$13−$1.90$0
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes9817¢12.5¢$12−$4.43+$79
Will PEC Zwolle be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?Yes4033¢30.5¢$12−$1.00$0
Will Trevor Lawrence have 31.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No2074¢60.5¢$12−$2.70$0
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No1393¢92.5¢$12−$0.06−$519
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes7019¢17¢$12−$1.40−$1.35
Manchester City punishment announced by December 18?No2068¢59¢$12−$1.80$0
Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?No5050¢23.5¢$12−$13$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes12313¢9.5¢$12−$4.32+$217
Will William Nylander record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?Yes2067¢57.5¢$12−$1.90$0
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?Yes4050.5¢27.7¢$11−$9.12+$4.32
Will Sabrina Carpenter release an album in 2026?Yes10021¢11¢$11−$10$0
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T?No2063¢55¢$11−$1.60$0
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Yes12014¢8.9¢$11−$6.17+$6.00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No5032¢21¢$11−$5.50+$47
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?No1474¢72.5¢$10−$0.21−$6.36
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?No2053¢49.5¢$9.90−$0.70$0
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes4040¢24.5¢$9.80−$6.20+$13
Will over 66 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No1095.4¢94.3¢$9.67−$0.11$0
Will TSG Hoffenheim reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League Round of 16?No2051¢47.5¢$9.50−$0.70$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?Yes4033¢23.5¢$9.40−$3.80$0
Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes5028¢18.5¢$9.25−$4.75$0
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Jun 30?No1666¢57.5¢$9.21−$1.36−$17
Will the Colorado Avalanche record 110+ points?Yes2063¢46¢$9.20−$3.40$0
Will Colorado have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes2058¢45.5¢$9.10−$2.50$0
New pandemic before 2028?Yes6019¢15¢$9.02−$2.41+$35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?No1280¢77.5¢$8.97−$0.29−$314

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL SangalCounter-Strike: FaZe vs Sangal (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs47¢333$15748%30
BUY NoLula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?99¢300$29748%30
SELL YesPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?4¢93$3.7148%30
BUY SangalCounter-Strike: FaZe vs Sangal (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs39¢369$14448%30
BUY NoPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?95.9¢107$10348%30
BUY YesWill Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?68¢33$2248%30
BUY NoWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15?88¢250$22048%30
BUY YesWill Republicans win white women in the midterms?18.2¢76$1448%30
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?36¢650$23448%30
BUY NoRussia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?54¢48$2648%30
BUY NoPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?78¢82$6448%30
BUY YesWill Real Sociedad finish top 8 in UEL league phase?34¢103$3548%30
BUY NoPredict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?50¢10$5.0048%30
BUY YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?37.6¢394$14848%30
BUY NoWill MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?91¢39$3648%30
BUY NoGemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?27.6¢126$3548%30
BUY NoWill OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T?95.2¢611$58248%30
BUY NoWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?48¢53$2648%30
BUY YesWill Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?32¢15$4.8048%30
BUY YesWill Manchester United reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?59¢38$2348%30