PnL all-time+$196kvol $370k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate55.4%adj 55.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$40.7kcash n/a
Positions3 / 503open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age5.7ylast trade 10mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$205kbelow peak $0Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
68/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale76
Adjusted win rateraw 55.4% · shrunk toward 50%38
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? · Republicanclosed+$14.9kWill Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? · Yesclosed+$12.4kWill FTX become insolvent by EOY? · Yesclosed+$8,171Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? · Yesclosed+$7,099Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season? · Yesclosed+$6,985
Worst markets
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? · Noclosed−$11.4kWhich party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? · Democraticclosed−$10.6kWill Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? · Noclosed−$6,684Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? · Yesclosed−$5,857Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? · Noclosed−$5,520
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 40.0k | 50¢ | 51.6¢ | $20.6k | +$620 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 40.0k | 50¢ | 48.4¢ | $19.4k | −$620 | $0 | |
| How many Yea votes in the House for the American Rescue Plan? | 220 | 700 | 0¢ | 100¢ | $700 | +$700 | $0 |
Recent trades
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