sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,242

PolBandit

0x15f…cc95
WhalePnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$23.8kvol $2.61M
PnL 30d+$4,540gains $7,579 · losses $8.70
PnL 7d−$2,132win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate94.9%adj 85.7% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$130kcash n/a
Positions15 / 94open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 17d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$19.9kbelow peak −$20.7kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 94.9% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d42
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes79.2k85.4¢90.5¢$71.7k+$4,047$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo36.8k92¢91.5¢$33.7k−$184$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes22.9k75¢73.5¢$16.8k−$343$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes9,15380.4¢81.5¢$7,459+$104$0
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes20.1k3.4¢2.9¢$594−$97$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes4254.1¢57.8¢$24+$1.54−$1,389
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes13.4k61.7¢0.1¢$6.71−$8,274$0
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4,0001.3¢0.2¢$6.00−$46$0
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes34.3k96.1¢0¢$0−$33.0k$0
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No16.4k95.2¢0¢$0−$15.6k−$25
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?Yes15.9k81.8¢0¢$0−$13.0k$0
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes7,41579¢0¢$0−$5,858−$49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Yes6,40313.1¢0¢$0−$836$0
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?Yes2,1824.9¢0¢$0−$107−$4.06
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Yes59596¢0¢$0−$571$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House92¢1,300$1,19695%49
SELL YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?42.1¢2,884$1,21595%49
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House92¢35.5k$32.7k95%49Whale
SELL YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?44.6¢974$43495%49
BUY YesWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?75¢22.9k$17.2k95%49Whale
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?98.7¢28.8k$28.5k95%49Whale
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?97.9¢20$2095%49
SELL NoWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?63.4¢59$3795%49
SELL YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?36.7¢862$31795%49
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?87¢14.1k$12.2k95%49Whale
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?97.3¢200$19595%49
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?81¢7,789$6,30995%49
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?89¢13.6k$12.1k95%49Whale
BUY NoWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?98.5¢18.8k$18.5k95%49Whale
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?95¢4,009$3,80895%49
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?77¢8,000$6,16095%49
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?95¢8,082$7,67895%49
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?92¢57.0k$52.4k95%49Whale
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?84¢6,765$5,68395%49
BUY YesWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?95.9¢14.8k$14.2k95%49Whale