PnL all-time+$180vol $73.9k
PnL 30d+$13gains $13 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$2.65win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate94.0%adj 91.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$1,222cash n/a
Positions11 / 320open / all-time
Max drawdown−19.2%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 3d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$198below peak −$129Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
75/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale32
Adjusted win rateraw 94.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d89
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity81
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Canadiens vs. Blues · Bluesclosed+$168Ripple above $3.15 on January 31? · Noclosed+$71Will Trump visit China by April 30? · Yesclosed+$28Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? · Noclosed+$18Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 27? · Noclosed+$10
Worst markets
Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21? · Noclosed−$124Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24? · Noclosed−$58Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 18? · Noclosed−$49Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 18°C on August 24? · Yesclosed−$46Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yesclosed−$42
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? | Yes | 300 | 95.3¢ | 94.3¢ | $283 | −$3.10 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? | No | 200 | 99.1¢ | 99.3¢ | $199 | +$0.30 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 200 | 94.8¢ | 94.5¢ | $189 | −$0.50 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 134 | 95.2¢ | 97.2¢ | $130 | +$2.61 | $0 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | No | 100 | 98.5¢ | 99¢ | $99 | +$0.45 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 96.8¢ | 97.2¢ | $97 | +$0.35 | $0 | |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 100 | 94.3¢ | 94.2¢ | $94 | −$0.15 | $0 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 50 | 94¢ | 96.3¢ | $48 | +$1.15 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? | No | 40 | 96.8¢ | 97.1¢ | $39 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in October? | No | 40 | 96.5¢ | 95.6¢ | $38 | −$0.38 | $0 | |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in October? | No | 6 | 96.9¢ | 99.6¢ | $5.57 | +$0.15 | $0 |
Recent trades
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