| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 101k | 87.9¢ | 90.5¢ | $91.4k | +$2,596 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 97.6k | 85¢ | 83.5¢ | $81.5k | −$1,493 | +$10.6k | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 73.0k | 91.9¢ | 91.5¢ | $66.8k | −$285 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 58.4k | 88.4¢ | 90.5¢ | $52.8k | +$1,199 | +$955 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 46.3k | 65.1¢ | 56.5¢ | $26.1k | −$4,002 | +$490 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 31.2k | 69.5¢ | 76.5¢ | $23.9k | +$2,185 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 24.1k | 79.7¢ | 84.5¢ | $20.4k | +$1,169 | $0 | |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 20.0k | 97.3¢ | 98¢ | $19.6k | +$145 | $0 | |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 21.0k | 83.2¢ | 79.5¢ | $16.7k | −$775 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 18.3k | 87.7¢ | 89.5¢ | $16.4k | +$327 | −$58 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 17.5k | 88.7¢ | 89.5¢ | $15.6k | +$138 | +$6,240 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | No | 16.4k | 90.1¢ | 93.5¢ | $15.4k | +$550 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 23.0k | 50.1¢ | 62.5¢ | $14.4k | +$2,860 | +$3,016 | |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 19.0k | 69.2¢ | 73.5¢ | $14.0k | +$809 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 16.7k | 75.1¢ | 73.5¢ | $12.3k | −$270 | +$7.06 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 15.8k | 68¢ | 76.5¢ | $12.1k | +$1,347 | $0 | |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 13.4k | 88.1¢ | 89.5¢ | $12.0k | +$183 | $0 | |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 13.0k | 88.8¢ | 89.1¢ | $11.6k | +$32 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 10.2k | 84.3¢ | 91¢ | $9,290 | +$684 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.7k | 66.9¢ | 78.5¢ | $9,188 | +$1,360 | −$1,484 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 10.1k | 86.3¢ | 87.3¢ | $8,856 | +$96 | −$158 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 8,068 | 88.8¢ | 93.5¢ | $7,543 | +$379 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 8,329 | 87.4¢ | 88.5¢ | $7,371 | +$92 | −$270 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 7,846 | 58.2¢ | 83¢ | $6,512 | +$1,945 | +$4,074 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 14.6k | 42.4¢ | 44.5¢ | $6,503 | +$312 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 41.1k | 28.9¢ | 14.5¢ | $5,965 | −$5,921 | −$3,751 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 10.0k | 57.4¢ | 57.9¢ | $5,790 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 9,000 | 64.6¢ | 61.5¢ | $5,535 | −$275 | $0 | |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 6,000 | 77¢ | 83.8¢ | $5,025 | +$405 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 11.2k | 42.1¢ | 44.5¢ | $4,995 | +$266 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 8,234 | 58¢ | 57.5¢ | $4,735 | −$41 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 11.2k | 45.4¢ | 41.5¢ | $4,664 | −$443 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 13.3k | 37.9¢ | 34.5¢ | $4,592 | −$454 | $0 | |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 5,000 | 88¢ | 91.5¢ | $4,575 | +$175 | $0 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5,693 | 58¢ | 63.5¢ | $3,615 | +$313 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 23.0k | 13.7¢ | 14.5¢ | $3,333 | +$185 | +$5.62 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5,000 | 58¢ | 57.5¢ | $2,875 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 17.0k | 13.4¢ | 15.5¢ | $2,635 | +$355 | +$1,078 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 13.7k | 29¢ | 19¢ | $2,610 | −$1,377 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | Yes | 5,000 | 40¢ | 38.5¢ | $1,925 | −$75 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3,000 | 52¢ | 62.5¢ | $1,875 | +$315 | $0 | |
| Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? | No | 2,061 | 81¢ | 82¢ | $1,690 | +$21 | $0 | |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | Yes | 10.9k | 21.8¢ | 14.5¢ | $1,578 | −$792 | −$221 | |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 1,622 | 72.4¢ | 92.5¢ | $1,500 | +$326 | +$79 | |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 9,879 | 13¢ | 12.5¢ | $1,235 | −$49 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8,398 | 33.4¢ | 14.5¢ | $1,218 | −$1,588 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 1,215 | 83¢ | 94.5¢ | $1,148 | +$140 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 7,000 | 15.6¢ | 15.5¢ | $1,085 | −$4.98 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 13.8k | 14¢ | 5.1¢ | $695 | −$1,231 | +$300 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 760 | 78¢ | 88¢ | $669 | +$76 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? | Yes | 10.2k | 6.7¢ | 6.5¢ | $663 | −$18 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | Yes | 2,103 | 25.7¢ | 26.5¢ | $557 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,089 | 50.2¢ | 48.4¢ | $528 | −$19 | +$194 | |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 585 | 72.9¢ | 83.5¢ | $488 | +$62 | $0 | |
| Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | No | 500 | 64¢ | 89.5¢ | $448 | +$128 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 5,000 | 14¢ | 4.2¢ | $207 | −$492 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 123 | 88¢ | 95.5¢ | $118 | +$9.24 | $0 | |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 432 | 12¢ | 13.5¢ | $58 | +$6.47 | $0 | |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | Yes | 3,327 | 18.9¢ | 1.5¢ | $48 | −$582 | +$209 | |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | Yes | 317 | 39¢ | 10.5¢ | $33 | −$90 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 5 | 76.9¢ | 81.5¢ | $4.11 | +$0.23 | +$658 | |
| Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 100 | 1.8¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.30 | −$1.50 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 74.3k | 25.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$19.2k | −$2,193 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 41.2k | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,528 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | Yes | 25.9k | 5.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,507 | $0 | |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4,842 | 7.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$344 | $0 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | Yes | 2,000 | 27¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$540 | $0 | |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | No | 7 | 16.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.19 | $0 | |
