PnL all-time−$463vol $53.3k
PnL 30d+$47gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$22win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate60.0%adj 56.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,151cash n/a
Positions10 / 61open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$272below peak −$923Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
20/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 60.0% · shrunk toward 50%42
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$355Anduril IPO before 2027? · Noopen+$191Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? · Yesclosed+$182Military action against Iran ends by April 24, 2026? · Yesclosed+$168Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions? · Noclosed+$145
Worst markets
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$598Will Geeta Gandbhir - The Perfect Neighbor win Best Director of a Documentary Film at the 78th DGA Awards? · Yesopen−$289Solana Up or Down - February 11, 8PM ET · Downopen−$218Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? · Yesopen−$164Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$135
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anduril IPO before 2027? | No | 1,308 | 83¢ | 97.6¢ | $1,277 | +$191 | $0 | |
| Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw? | No | 515 | 88¢ | 100¢ | $515 | +$62 | $0 | |
| Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5) | EC Juventude | 601 | 50¢ | 50¢ | $301 | $0 | $0 | |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? | No | 59 | 49¢ | 100¢ | $59 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Lucinda M. Margolis - Jeopardy! win Best Director of a Reality / Quiz & Game at the 78th DGA Awards? | Yes | 611 | 13¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$79 | +$16 | |
| Will Geeta Gandbhir - The Perfect Neighbor win Best Director of a Documentary Film at the 78th DGA Awards? | Yes | 566 | 51¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$289 | $0 | |
| Solana Up or Down - February 11, 8PM ET | Down | 435 | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$218 | $0 | |
| Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 224 | 73¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$164 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | Yes | 167 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31? | Yes | 1 | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.22 | −$48 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s