PnL all-time+$20.9kvol $670k
PnL 30d+$4,423gains $7,292 · losses $2,751
PnL 7d+$1,040win rate 7d 56.1%
Win rate59.4%adj 59.1% · 30d 57.8%
Open value$1,036cash n/a
Positions355 / 3,888open / all-time
Max drawdown−2.9%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 5h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$24.3kbelow peak $0Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
74/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 59.4% · shrunk toward 50%48
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity97
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 18? · Yesclosed+$340Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 12? · Yesclosed+$335Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 26? · Yesclosed+$242Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 5? · Yesopen+$227Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 16? · Noclosed+$217
Worst markets
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 5? · Yesopen−$185Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 22? · Yesclosed−$155Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 5? · Yesclosed−$120Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 28? · Yesopen−$119Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 1? · Yesopen−$117
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 13? | No | 384 | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | $384 | +$7.87 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 13? | No | 337 | 69.6¢ | 100¢ | $337 | +$102 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13? | Yes | 91 | 9.1¢ | 100¢ | $91 | +$83 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13? | Yes | 82 | 46.2¢ | 100¢ | $82 | +$44 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 13? | Yes | 78 | 59.2¢ | 100¢ | $78 | +$32 | +$5.19 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 13? | No | 39 | 88¢ | 100¢ | $39 | +$4.63 | $0 | |
| Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | Yes | 144 | 5.2¢ | 10.5¢ | $15 | +$7.72 | $0 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 13? | Yes | 100 | 19.8¢ | 10.4¢ | $10 | −$9.40 | −$6.66 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s