sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,202

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0x165…f5aa@controls_poly
SharpPnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$42.0kvol $1.22M
PnL 30d+$4,725gains $9,206 · losses $1,356
PnL 7d+$308win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate82.0%adj 80.8% · 30d 93.1%
Open value$21.2kcash n/a
Positions125 / 888open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.4%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 20h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$44.7kbelow peak −$137Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

84/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale66
Adjusted win rateraw 82.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable98
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity87

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No6,33673.5¢82.5¢$5,228+$568+$594
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No3,39693¢94.5¢$3,209+$51+$77
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No2,37796.7¢96.7¢$2,297−$2.35+$9.30
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No1,84854.4¢80.5¢$1,488+$482$0
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No1,23375¢71¢$876−$49$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?No1,19339.1¢62.5¢$746+$279$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No82453.3¢89¢$734+$294+$137
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?No1,04152.5¢67.5¢$703+$157+$64
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Yes99961¢59.5¢$594−$15$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes66078.8¢76.5¢$505−$15$0
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?No70760.8¢68¢$481+$51+$61
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No94940.5¢48.5¢$460+$76−$100
Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?No90151.8¢49.5¢$446−$21$0
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?No51360.6¢86.5¢$444+$133$0
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?No39793.3¢96.3¢$382+$12$0
Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?No54069.1¢68¢$367−$5.73$0
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes99941¢34.5¢$345−$65$0
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No35385¢91.5¢$323+$23$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No27740¢93¢$258+$147+$42
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No21961.6¢83¢$182+$47+$101
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?No99919¢17.5¢$175−$15$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No15976¢98.4¢$157+$36$0
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31?No17081.2¢91.5¢$155+$17$0
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Yes1,04014.4¢14¢$146−$4.40$0
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?No11495¢96.3¢$109+$1.48$0
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No11357¢86¢$97+$33$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes77717.4¢9¢$70−$65+$185
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Yes75014¢9¢$68−$38$0
Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?No15250¢34.5¢$52−$24$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes16229¢29.5¢$48+$0.81$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?Yes99921¢4¢$40−$170$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No463¢83.5¢$3.47+$0.85$0
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes63.4k1.8¢0¢$0−$1,160−$8.78
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes53.9k1¢0¢$0−$564+$30
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes41.7k1.3¢0¢$0−$528−$0.63
Will Astralis win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes18.5k0.5¢0¢$0−$91−$0.30
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes13.6k4.7¢0¢$0−$636−$12
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes8,20728.5¢0¢$0−$2,341$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes7,36140.6¢0¢$0−$2,987$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes5,09116.5¢0¢$0−$842$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes4,82311.1¢0¢$0−$536$0
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No4,53381.7¢0¢$0−$3,703+$169
Will Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No4,19830.7¢0¢$0−$1,290−$36
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes3,3991.4¢0¢$0−$48−$0.51
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes3,3691¢0¢$0−$34$0
Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes3,3331.2¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during Michigan remarks?No1,74821.3¢0¢$0−$373−$5.40
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes1,58628¢0¢$0−$444−$871
Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No1,49629.3¢0¢$0−$438−$12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No1,41152.4¢0¢$0−$738−$69
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No1,39552.7¢0¢$0−$735+$228
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?No1,39162.3¢0¢$0−$867+$22
Will Trump say "Coal" during cabinet meeting?Yes1,17542.1¢0¢$0−$495+$51
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes9997¢0¢$0−$70$0
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Speech to the Nation?No91543.7¢0¢$0−$400−$9.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?No90091.7¢0¢$0−$826+$6.29
Will Trump say "Space Force" during Tribute to America Rally?No88445.2¢0¢$0−$400−$7.62
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 10+ times during Michigan remarks?Yes80632.1¢0¢$0−$259+$245
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?No77757¢0¢$0−$443$0
Will Trump say "Fake News" during events in Rockland County?No69813¢0¢$0−$91$0
Will Trump say "Fraud" during remarks in Georgia?No66643¢0¢$0−$286$0
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?Yes66557¢0¢$0−$379$0
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 7+ times during Tribute to America Rally?No65436.3¢0¢$0−$238−$4.03
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?No63590.4¢0¢$0−$574$0
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?No60571.4¢0¢$0−$432−$0.50
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No59767¢0¢$0−$400−$173
Will Trump say "Air Force" or "Space Force" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No57722.9¢0¢$0−$132−$4.07
Will Trump say "Israel" during events in Rockland County?Yes55554¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will Trump say "Fake News" during White House Correspondents Dinner?No55511¢0¢$0−$61$0
Will Trump say "Maduro" during Speech to the Nation?No55566¢0¢$0−$366$0
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?No55533¢0¢$0−$183$0
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?No52327.9¢0¢$0−$146$0
Will Trump say "Drone" during White House Correspondents Dinner?No50651.4¢0¢$0−$260−$5.05
Will Trump say "Security" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No46637.6¢0¢$0−$175−$4.37
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?No45622.5¢0¢$0−$102$0
Will Trump say "Save America Act" during remarks in Georgia?No4447¢0¢$0−$31$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No44445¢0¢$0−$200+$36
Will the announcers say "Goal" 40+ times during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?No44434¢0¢$0−$151$0
Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during June 24 Rally?No44464¢0¢$0−$284$0
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?No43934.8¢0¢$0−$153−$3.99
Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Saint Petersburg?Yes43053¢0¢$0−$228−$4.29
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Speech to the Nation?No40366.1¢0¢$0−$266−$0.66
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by September 30?No37821.9¢0¢$0−$83$0
Will Trump say "Fake News" during Tribute to America Rally?Yes37249¢0¢$0−$182+$45
Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes35529¢0¢$0−$103−$42
Will Netanyahu say "Hormuz" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?Yes33941.3¢0¢$0−$140−$3.29
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?Yes33356.3¢0¢$0−$188$0
Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during Tribute to America Rally?No33352¢0¢$0−$173$0
Will Trump say "Russia" during June 24 Rally?No33343¢0¢$0−$143$0
Will Trump say "MAHA" or "Make America Healthy Again" during June 24 Rally?No33343¢0¢$0−$143$0
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during remarks in Georgia?No33224.6¢0¢$0−$82−$1.95
Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during Announcement on American Nuclear Innovation?No33241¢0¢$0−$136$0
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during Wisconsin events?Yes28860.1¢0¢$0−$173−$2.76
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?No25842.6¢0¢$0−$110$0
Will Trump say "NATO" 10+ times during press conference?Yes25425.6¢0¢$0−$65−$1.94
Will Trump's Las Vegas remarks be between 60 and 70 minutes long?Yes25117.1¢0¢$0−$43−$1.78
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes23722¢0¢$0−$52$0
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?No23549.8¢0¢$0−$117−$2.35
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes23132¢0¢$0−$74−$2.01
Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA World Cup Match?No23137¢0¢$0−$85+$12

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?96.7¢2,377$2,29982%84Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?14.4¢1,040$15082%84Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?51.8¢901$46782%84Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?70.7¢219$15582%84Sharp
BUY NoZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?93¢1,398$1,30082%84Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?50¢152$7682%84Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?95¢114$10882%84Sharp
BUY NoWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by September 30?96.7¢414$40082%84Sharp
BUY NoRussia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?39.1¢205$8082%84Sharp
BUY YesRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?22¢237$5282%84Sharp
SELL NoRussia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?30¢955$28782%84Sharp
BUY YesWill Netanyahu say "Hormuz" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?41.3¢339$14082%84Sharp
BUY NoTrump renames AI by September 30?67.9¢1,768$1,20082%84Sharp
BUY YesWill Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?14¢750$10582%84Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?97.9¢27$2682%84Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump say "Manhattan" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?78.6¢382$30082%84Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?49.8¢235$11782%84Sharp
BUY YesWill Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?92¢114$10582%84Sharp
SELL NoWill Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?4.8¢1,771$8482%84Sharp
BUY YesRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?76.6¢745$57082%84Sharp