PnL all-time+$2,271vol $467k
PnL 30d+$498gains $1,235 · losses $917
PnL 7d+$234win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate79.3%adj 74.1% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$8,139cash n/a
Positions3 / 95open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 7h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$2,460below peak −$2,554Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
50/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 79.3% · shrunk toward 50%85
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Yesclosed+$1,601US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,377US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,038Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Noclosed+$991Will Trump visit China by March 31? · Noclosed+$849
Worst markets
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$3,969Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Noclosed−$1,384Will Trump visit China by April 30? · Yesclosed−$1,240Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yesclosed−$891Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$535
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4,762 | 84¢ | 83.5¢ | $3,976 | −$24 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | Yes | 2,213 | 94.9¢ | 94.7¢ | $2,096 | −$3.87 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 2,222 | 90¢ | 93¢ | $2,067 | +$67 | $0 |
Recent trades
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