sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,325

TheFOMCGambler

0x169…5d20
SharpPnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$19.7kvol $229k
PnL 30d+$15.9kgains $20.2k · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1,211win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate78.2%adj 75.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$28.0kcash n/a
Positions42 / 226open / all-time
Max drawdown−19.6%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$19.4kbelow peak −$2,624Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

80/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale61
Adjusted win rateraw 78.2% · shrunk toward 50%88
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity80

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 42

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes83.3k17.1¢15.5¢$12.9k−$1,340$0
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes2,24686.4¢92.5¢$2,078+$136$0
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Yes1,55688.4¢93.5¢$1,455+$80$0
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Yes94890.9¢96.8¢$917+$55$0
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Yes98593.2¢92.5¢$911−$6.88$0
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Yes86088.3¢95.6¢$822+$62$0
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes84779.4¢91.5¢$775+$102$0
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?Yes66391.8¢98.1¢$650+$42$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes1,01279.5¢61.5¢$623−$182$0
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Yes65695.4¢94¢$616−$8.95$0
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Yes62994.2¢94.4¢$594+$0.78$0
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes68487.8¢73.5¢$503−$98$0
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?Yes51091.9¢97.7¢$498+$29$0
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?Yes50653.6¢97.6¢$494+$223$0
Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?No50093¢97.7¢$489+$24$0
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes45080.7¢85.5¢$385+$22$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes41990.4¢87.5¢$367−$12$0
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No38085.5¢95.6¢$363+$38+$1.46
Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?No28093.2¢98.9¢$277+$16$0
Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?Yes25093.4¢97.9¢$245+$11$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No30081¢78¢$234−$9.00$0
Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?Yes21991.5¢98¢$214+$14$0
Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?Yes20094¢98.4¢$197+$8.80$0
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No18983.1¢84.5¢$160+$2.67$0
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?No15794.2¢98.3¢$154+$6.49$0
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes15390.5¢93.4¢$143+$4.34$0
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No14490¢86.5¢$125−$5.05$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No18683¢61.5¢$114−$40$0
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?No11088¢95.5¢$105+$8.26$0
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?Yes10894¢96.6¢$105+$2.76$0
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?Yes10092¢98¢$98+$5.95$0
US x China Military clash before 2027?No8989¢97.8¢$87+$7.74+$2.60
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes10560.1¢71.5¢$75+$12$0
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes7081.6¢89¢$62+$5.20$0
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Yes5088¢78.5¢$39−$4.75$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes3455.7¢96.6¢$33+$14$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No3070¢94¢$28+$7.20$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes3081¢90.5¢$27+$2.85$0
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026?Yes2591¢99.3¢$25+$2.11$0
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?Yes2188.7¢97.5¢$21+$1.86$0
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?No1193.1¢97.4¢$10+$0.45+$30
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes1064¢99.1¢$9.90+$3.50$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?16¢20.8k$3,33478%80Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?94.1¢293$27578%80Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?94¢471$44378%80Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?17¢10.4k$1,77178%80Sharp
SELL YesWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?41¢50$2178%80Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?17¢2,084$35478%80Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?17¢10.4k$1,77178%80Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?16¢10.4k$1,66778%80Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?16¢10.4k$1,66778%80Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?16¢15.6k$2,50078%80Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?91¢200$18278%80Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?91¢200$18278%80Sharp
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?16¢1,042$16778%80Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?92.3¢80$7378%80Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?91¢200$18278%80Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?96.4¢363$35078%80Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?97.2¢108$10578%80Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?70¢200$14078%80Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?92¢500$46078%80Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?93¢655$60978%80Sharp