sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

ValerieGraham9908

0x169…55e4@LethalLee444955
PoliticsCultureOtherWeatherSportCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,620vol $265k
PnL 30d+$1.88gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$2.41win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate52.1%adj 51.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$3,107cash n/a
Positions30 / 282open / all-time
Max drawdown−27.2%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,717below peak −$675Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 52.1% · shrunk toward 50%30
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity73

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 30

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Yes81041¢100¢$810+$478$0
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?SpaceX79987¢100¢$799+$104$0
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois PanthersEastern Illinois Panthers49069.9¢100¢$490+$147$0
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins93849¢50¢$469+$9.38$0
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No43566¢93.5¢$407+$120$0
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State GamecocksJacksonville State Gamecocks12184.9¢100¢$121+$18$0
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No849¢100¢$8.00+$4.08−$67
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Yes7432¢2.6¢$1.92−$22+$19
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No180¢98.8¢$0.99+$0.19−$1.74
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes142¢19.5¢$0.20−$0.23$0
Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes148¢8¢$0.08−$0.40$0
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes131¢3.3¢$0.03−$0.28−$5.61
Will Trump say "Losing MAGA" this week? (April 19)Yes1,01318¢0¢$0−$182$0
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No61156¢0¢$0−$342$0
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?Yes56559¢0¢$0−$333$0
Will the number of US flights delayed on April 9 be between 4,500 and 5,000?No52584¢0¢$0−$441$0
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Najmah Saudi Club42528.3¢0¢$0−$120$0
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over39881¢0¢$0−$322$0
Will Miles Caton be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes37514.1¢0¢$0−$53$0
Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?No20036¢0¢$0−$72−$178
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5Under18489¢0¢$0−$164$0
Will the US next strike Iran on March 31, 2026 (ET)?Yes630.9¢0¢$0−$0.56+$0.61
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?Yes2535¢0¢$0−$8.75−$1.90
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes2321¢0¢$0−$4.83$0
Will between 5500-6000 US flights be delayed on March 24?Yes1418¢0¢$0−$2.52$0
Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?No714¢0¢$0−$0.98−$14
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?Yes365¢0¢$0−$1.95−$4.10
Will Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?No287.7¢0¢$0−$1.75+$0.73
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?Yes130¢0¢$0−$0.30−$6.08
Will "Dude" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)No162¢0¢$0−$0.62−$279

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?56¢611$34252%47
SELL NoWill OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?36¢203$7352%47
SELL NoWill OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?36¢311$11252%47
SELL NoWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?61¢614$37552%47
SELL NoWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?61¢78$4852%47
BUY UnderGimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.589¢184$16452%47
BUY NoWill OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?49¢522$25652%47
BUY NoWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?86¢692$59552%47
SELL NoTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?75¢543$40752%47
SELL NoWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?82¢249$20452%47
SELL YesWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?10¢6$0.6052%47
SELL YesWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?10¢9$0.9052%47
BUY NoWill the number of US flights delayed on April 9 be between 4,500 and 5,000?84¢525$44152%47
SELL NoWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?83¢420$34952%47
SELL NoWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?83¢81$6752%47
SELL NoTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?80¢27$2252%47
BUY NoWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?86¢249$21452%47
BUY NoTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?83¢570$47352%47
BUY Miami MarlinsSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins49¢938$46052%47
BUY NoWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?83¢501$41652%47