sharpside
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0x16c…22cd

0x16c…22cd
PnL 10k+WeatherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$16.6kvol $2.90M
PnL 30d−$115kgains $1,670 · losses $1,678
PnL 7d−$8,308win rate 7d 35.6%
Win rate35.6%adj 37.4% · 30d 35.6%
Open value$5,034cash n/a
Positions208 / 49,272open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 3m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$44.4kbelow peak −$160kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 35.6% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes1,62552.2¢18.5¢$301−$548−$642
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 12?No25299.9¢99.7¢$251−$0.62−$2.11
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 12?No25299.8¢99.6¢$250−$0.61−$2.07
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 12?No25299.1¢99.4¢$250+$0.69−$1.64
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 12?No24197.1¢98.6¢$238+$3.44−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 12?No28476¢71.5¢$203−$13+$3.24
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12?No23278.5¢78.5¢$182+$0.08+$1.11
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?No34157.1¢47¢$160−$34+$246
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 11?No15797.9¢100¢$157+$3.24−$5.69
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?No20457.6¢74.5¢$152+$34+$21
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 11?No14790.3¢100¢$147+$14−$1.44
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 11?No14799.7¢100¢$147+$0.34−$18
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 11?No14676.9¢100¢$146+$34−$3.42
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 12?No14299.7¢99.6¢$141−$0.15−$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 12?No14299.3¢98.2¢$139−$1.53−$0.67
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12?No25246.5¢51¢$129+$11+$12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 12?No14280.8¢85¢$120+$5.92+$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 12?No14182.1¢75¢$106−$9.99+$0.11
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No15963.6¢62.5¢$99−$1.67+$1,575
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on October 12?No9199.9¢99.9¢$91+$0.02−$0.72
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 12?No8399.8¢100¢$83+$0.11−$1.49
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 12?No8399.5¢99.6¢$83+$0.10−$1.58
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 12?No8396.7¢98.5¢$82+$1.44−$0.49
Will the Republican Party win the TX-29 House seat?No8195¢98.4¢$80+$2.77−$0.08
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes11633.3¢67¢$78+$39−$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 12?No7499.9¢99.8¢$74−$0.07−$0.72
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 12?No5499.8¢99.9¢$54+$0.02−$9.36
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 12?No14235.6¢37.5¢$53+$2.70+$4.87
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 12?No5497.1¢96¢$52−$0.62−$8.46
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 12?No5494.9¢94.5¢$51−$0.20−$5.81
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No14221.3¢25.5¢$36+$5.99+$554
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 11?No3699.8¢100¢$36+$0.05−$2.61
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?No7943.5¢45.5¢$36+$1.55$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 12?No3599.8¢99.7¢$35−$0.03−$1.15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 12?No3599.7¢99.5¢$35−$0.09−$1.12
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 12?No3599.9¢99.5¢$35−$0.16−$1.16
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on October 12?No3599.9¢99.4¢$35−$0.18−$1.17
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 12?No3595¢96¢$34+$0.36−$0.44
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 12?No3597¢94.5¢$34−$0.87−$0.56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 12?No5942.6¢52.5¢$31+$5.87+$21
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 12?No2999.9¢99.9¢$29−$0.01−$7.85
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 12?No2899.9¢99.9¢$28$0−$4.31
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 12?No4964.6¢55.5¢$27−$4.45+$13
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 12?No2599.7¢99.6¢$25−$0.03$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 12?No2599.8¢99.6¢$25−$0.07$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 12?No2599.2¢99¢$24−$0.06$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 12?No2596.7¢96¢$24−$0.17$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 12?No3556.4¢64.5¢$23+$2.89+$4.15
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No2184.4¢95.5¢$20+$2.33+$44
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in September?No2099.9¢99.9¢$20−$0.01$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in September?No2099.8¢99.8¢$20−$0.01$0
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) or decrease in September?No2099.8¢99.7¢$20−$0.03$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 6°C or below on October 12?No2099.9¢100¢$20+$0.01$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in September?No2099.9¢99.2¢$20−$0.14$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 12?No2099.9¢99.8¢$20−$0.03$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September?No2099.7¢99.1¢$20−$0.13$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?No2095¢95¢$19$0$0
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No2189¢89.9¢$19+$0.20−$1.85
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 12?No2584.4¢77¢$19−$1.82$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September?No2088¢89.5¢$18+$0.30$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 12?No2566.5¢71¢$18+$1.12$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 12?No3549.7¢44.5¢$16−$1.85+$5.16
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 12?No2550.4¢52.5¢$13+$0.53$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?No2064¢63.5¢$13−$0.10$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?No2051¢52¢$11+$0.20$0
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes2972.6¢3.2¢$9.50+$1.76+$64
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No3133.9¢23.5¢$7.36−$3.27+$46
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 12?Yes1527.7¢48¢$7.02+$2.97$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 12?Yes1556.9¢41.5¢$6.07−$2.25$0
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Yes755.4¢74.5¢$5.00+$1.28−$12
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?No575¢89.5¢$4.68+$0.76+$8.65
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?Yes1116.7¢41.5¢$4.57+$2.73+$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 12?Yes479¢9.5¢$4.46+$0.24$0
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?No550¢87¢$4.35+$1.85$0
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?No450¢71.5¢$3.21+$0.97$0
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No2122.7¢11.6¢$2.46−$2.34−$0.86
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 12?No833.3¢2.6¢$2.16−$0.61+$16
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?No1724.7¢12.5¢$2.15−$2.09$0
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes92.5¢19.5¢$1.75+$1.53+$12
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 12?Yes442¢43.5¢$1.73+$0.06$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 12?Yes443¢43.5¢$1.73+$0.02$0
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No413.1¢21.6¢$0.80+$0.31+$98
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 12?Yes153.1¢4.9¢$0.72+$0.26$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on October 12?Yes157¢4.4¢$0.64−$0.38$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 12?Yes199.1¢2.3¢$0.43−$1.30$0
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?No125.1¢28.5¢$0.34+$0.04+$491
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes6511.1¢0.4¢$0.23−$6.95+$7.95
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 12?Yes468.6¢0.5¢$0.21−$3.75+$2.07
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 11?Yes3362.5¢0.1¢$0.17−$8.34+$78
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes6511.1¢0.2¢$0.13−$7.04+$7.95
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?No320¢4.9¢$0.12−$0.38$0
Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes1172.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$2.81$0
Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes1172.5¢0.1¢$0.12−$2.81$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C or below on October 11?Yes2328.6¢0.1¢$0.12−$20$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 11?Yes2328.6¢0.1¢$0.12−$20$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 12?Yes386.8¢0.3¢$0.11−$2.49$0
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes1142.5¢0.1¢$0.11−$2.74+$1.25
Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes1142.5¢0.1¢$0.11−$2.74+$1.25
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on October 12?Yes149.1¢0.8¢$0.11−$1.16$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on October 11?Yes2179.1¢0.1¢$0.11−$20$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 12?75¢5$3.5036%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12?83.9¢14$1236%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C or higher on October 12?99.9¢5$5.0336%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 12?99.6¢5$4.9836%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 12?99.9¢15$1536%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on October 12?99¢15$1536%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on October 12?99.6¢10$1036%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 12?99.8¢17$1736%43
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?37¢5$1.8836%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?0.7¢56$0.3936%43
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 12?1.4¢3$0.0436%43
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 12?0.5¢10$0.0536%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 12?81.5¢16$1336%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 13?96¢5$4.9436%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 12?93¢1$0.9936%43
BUY NoWill Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?34¢6$2.1036%43
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on October 12?1.7¢20$0.3436%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 12?65¢5$3.3836%43
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 12?46¢34$1536%43
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 12?13.9¢10$1.3936%43