PnL all-time−$1,547vol $79.0k
PnL 30d+$358gains $470 · losses $152
PnL 7d+$131win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate55.8%adj 55.2% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$592cash n/a
Positions7 / 162open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 23h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,485below peak −$1,664Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
34/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 55.8% · shrunk toward 50%38
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable74
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$242Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? · Noclosed+$223US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28? · Yesclosed+$170Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15? · Yesclosed+$165Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31? · Yesclosed+$157
Worst markets
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15? | No | 301 | 71.3¢ | 88.5¢ | $267 | +$52 | $0 | |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026? | No | 167 | 70¢ | 77¢ | $129 | +$12 | $0 | |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | Yes | 383 | 42.3¢ | 31¢ | $119 | −$43 | $0 | |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 31, 2026? | No | 152 | 53.2¢ | 51¢ | $78 | −$3.28 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | Yes | 814 | 12.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$3.51 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | Yes | 177 | 56.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | +$15 | |
| US x China tariff agreement by May 31? | Yes | 156 | 64¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$1.44 |
Recent trades
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