PnL all-time+$414vol $31.0k
PnL 30d−$161gains $525 · losses $178
PnL 7d−$63win rate 7d 63.6%
Win rate59.7%adj 58.8% · 30d 70.9%
Open value$208cash n/a
Positions116 / 309open / all-time
Max drawdown−42.8%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 12h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$528below peak −$359Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale37
Adjusted win rateraw 59.7% · shrunk toward 50%47
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable83
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity57
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? · Yesclosed+$166Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6? · Yesclosed+$163Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? · Yesclosed+$121Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15? · Yesclosed+$119Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 17? · Yesclosed+$108
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 11? · Yesopen−$184Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20? · Yesopen−$182Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12? · Yesopen−$75Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31? · Yesclosed−$60Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 22? · Yesopen−$50
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 14? | Yes | 91 | 74.4¢ | 100¢ | $91 | +$23 | −$3.57 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 14? | Yes | 48 | 90¢ | 100¢ | $48 | +$4.75 | +$0.26 | |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | Yes | 40 | 50¢ | 71¢ | $28 | +$8.40 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 14? | Yes | 14 | 85.9¢ | 100¢ | $14 | +$1.97 | +$2.00 | |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? | Yes | 80 | 27¢ | 15¢ | $12 | −$9.60 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 100 | 11.6¢ | 7.9¢ | $7.85 | −$3.73 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 40 | 12.5¢ | 9.2¢ | $3.66 | −$1.34 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 30 | 35¢ | 6.4¢ | $1.91 | −$8.60 | $0 |
Recent trades
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