sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,353

JB-bet

0x175…4a8d
WR 60+1y+PoliticsWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$954vol $53.6k
PnL 30d−$130gains $948 · losses $665
PnL 7d+$18win rate 7d 80.0%
Win rate67.4%adj 65.6% · 30d 65.0%
Open value$1,422cash n/a
Positions36 / 208open / all-time
Max drawdown−34.1%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,045below peak −$180Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

65/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale43
Adjusted win rateraw 67.4% · shrunk toward 50%64
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable77
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity66

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 36

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes25398.2¢99.8¢$253+$4.14+$15
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes23386¢92.5¢$216+$15+$2.43
Will Kevin Acton win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes25374.3¢76.5¢$194+$5.67$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes15484.6¢86.1¢$132+$2.30$0
Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?No11685¢90.6¢$105+$6.46$0
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes13773¢73.5¢$101+$0.69$0
Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes11872.8¢73¢$86+$0.20$0
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes25041¢32¢$80−$22$0
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?No5894.5¢94.7¢$55+$0.07$0
Will Harwinder Sandhu win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes25317.6¢18¢$46+$1.00$0
Will Garry Thind win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes6352¢54.5¢$34+$1.57$0
Will Sunita Dhir win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes6240.3¢49¢$30+$5.38$0
Will Jaime Stein win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes6249¢41¢$25−$4.96$0
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No2397.9¢97.8¢$22−$0.02+$4.31
Will Garry Begg win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes5027¢34.5¢$17+$3.76$0
Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes6730¢21¢$14−$6.02$0
Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes6039.8¢14.2¢$8.52−$15$0
Will the PQ win 60-64 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes1012¢21¢$2.10+$0.90$0
Will Régis Gaudreault win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Yes6800.6¢0¢$0−$4.38+$3.97
Will PQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?Yes2678.5¢0¢$0−$23−$0.79
Will Pierre-Luc Brillant win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?Yes22530.8¢0¢$0−$69+$26
Will Sol Zanetti win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?No12019¢0¢$0−$23−$0.74
Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?Yes5034¢0¢$0−$17−$0.45
Will the PCQ win 8-10 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes4927¢0¢$0−$13−$0.71
Will Richard Bélanger win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?Yes361.4¢0¢$0−$0.52−$0.02
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?Yes3546.1¢0¢$0−$16−$0.60
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?Yes2926.6¢0¢$0−$7.60−$0.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?Yes2798¢0¢$0−$26+$16
Will Donald Martel win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?Yes212.9¢0¢$0−$0.62−$0.53
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?Yes2058¢0¢$0−$12−$0.34
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?Yes1811¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.05
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?Yes1730¢0¢$0−$4.98−$0.10
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Yes882¢0¢$0−$6.39−$0.03
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes423¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.04
Will the PCQ win 14-16 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes48¢0¢$0−$0.32−$2.25
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No229¢0¢$0−$0.64−$16

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?94.6¢231$21967%65
SELL YesWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?99.6¢238$23767%65
BUY YesWill NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?72¢20$1467%65
BUY YesWill NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?73¢75$5567%65
BUY YesWill Sunita Dhir win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?41¢20$8.2067%65
SELL YesWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?99.5¢9$8.4667%65
BUY YesWill NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?73¢24$1767%65
BUY YesWill Garry Begg win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?27¢50$1467%65
BUY YesWill Garry Thind win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?52¢63$3367%65
SELL YesWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?99.5¢25$2567%65
BUY YesWill Kevin Acton win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?75¢66$5067%65
BUY YesWill Harwinder Sandhu win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?18¢100$1867%65
BUY YesWill Kevin Acton win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?74¢34$2567%65
SELL YesWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?99.6¢41$4167%65
BUY YesWill Harwinder Sandhu win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?18¢53$9.5467%65
BUY YesWill Harwinder Sandhu win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?17¢100$1767%65
BUY YesWill Kevin Acton win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?74¢34$2567%65
SELL YesWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?99.6¢130$12967%65
BUY YesWill Sunita Dhir win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?40¢42$1767%65
BUY YesWill Jaime Stein win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?49¢42$2167%65