sharpside
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zirameke

0x17b…7a33@ArsenicTea65559
PoliticsSportCultureWeatherCryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$552vol $273k
PnL 30d+$55gains $209 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$40win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate55.1%adj 54.7% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$1,490cash n/a
Positions24 / 274open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 6mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$290below peak −$1,368Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 55.1% · shrunk toward 50%37
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 24

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No82563¢93.5¢$771+$252$0
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting CamelsCampbell Fighting Camels88688¢50¢$443−$337$0
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?OpenAI80927.2¢28.5¢$231+$11$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?No4372¢100¢$43+$12+$49
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?No266¢100¢$2.00+$0.68−$4.46
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. South Dakota CoyotesSouth Carolina State Bulldogs2,08925¢0¢$0−$522$0
Will Lesli Linka Glatter - Zero Day win Best Director for a Limited or Anthology Series at the 78th DGA Awards?Yes1,37012.6¢0¢$0−$173$0
Will Hong Kong have 190mm or more of precipitation in April?Yes80146¢0¢$0−$368$0
Will "AI" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No77245¢0¢$0−$347$0
Solana Up or Down - February 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETDown76951¢0¢$0−$392$0
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No71822¢0¢$0−$158$0
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Robot" or "Robotic" or "Robotics" during NYC rally?No68913¢0¢$0−$90−$86
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over61061¢0¢$0−$372$0
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes49234¢0¢$0−$167$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?No37969¢0¢$0−$262−$93
Will Shayne say "Trump" during 60 Minutes?No15849¢0¢$0−$77−$35
Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes14114.1¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No6194.6¢0¢$0−$58−$126
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO in 2025?Yes511.3¢0¢$0−$0.66+$0.10
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win less than 12% of votes in the first round?Yes1512.8¢0¢$0−$1.89−$0.23
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes143.6¢0¢$0−$0.50$0
Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?Yes514¢0¢$0−$0.70−$16
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?Yes570¢0¢$0−$3.50$0
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?Yes235¢0¢$0−$0.54$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Robot" or "Robotic" or "Robotics" during NYC rally?6¢1,222$7355%26
SELL NoWill Fidesz-KDNP win 44-48% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?82¢276$22655%26
SELL NoWill Fidesz-KDNP win 44-48% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?82¢290$23855%26
SELL NoWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" during NYC rally?34¢609$20755%26
SELL NoWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" during NYC rally?34¢10$3.4055%26
SELL NoWill Tisza win at least 100 seats?25¢781$19555%26
BUY NoWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Robot" or "Robotic" or "Robotics" during NYC rally?13¢1,911$24855%26
BUY NoWill Fidesz-KDNP win 44-48% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?85¢566$48155%26
BUY NoWill "AI" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?45¢772$34755%26
BUY NoWill Tisza win at least 100 seats?26¢781$20355%26
BUY NoWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Revolution" or "Revolutionary" during NYC rally?37¢619$22955%26
SELL NoWill Powell say "Goods inflation" during April press conference?36¢119$4355%26
SELL NoWill Powell say "Goods inflation" during April press conference?36¢1,032$37255%26
SELL NoMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?77¢841$64755%26
SELL NoMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?77¢137$10555%26
BUY NoMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?72¢1,021$73555%26
BUY NoWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?63¢825$52055%26
BUY NoWill Powell say "Goods inflation" during April press conference?37¢1,151$42655%26
BUY Campbell Fighting CamelsMid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels88¢886$78055%26
SELL NoWill Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?24¢458$11055%26