sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Nagumo

0x17d…9147@flooroftests
CryptoSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,286vol $245k
PnL 30d−$43gains $275 · losses $209
PnL 7d−$56win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate32.1%adj 32.8% · 30d 28.6%
Open value$281cash n/a
Positions63 / 760open / all-time
Max drawdown−24.3%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 10d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,641below peak −$827Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

51/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 32.1% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable96
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d66
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity76

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Noclosed+$592Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Noclosed+$540Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Noclosed+$332MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · Yesclosed+$314Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP? · Yesclosed+$292

Worst markets

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? · Yesclosed−$275Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yesclosed−$188MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$155Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026? · Yesopen−$133MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · Yesopen−$131

Open positions · 63

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2026?No30161.2¢52.5¢$158−$26$0
Beezie FDV above $150M one day after launch?No18246.3¢45¢$82−$2.39$0
Will Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2027?No2548.8¢50¢$12+$0.30$0
Will Derrick Henry win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes2,7850.3¢0.4¢$11+$2.04$0
3Jane FDV above $100M one day after launch?No3344¢28.5¢$9.43−$5.13$0
Will Ja'Marr Chase win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes2,0580.1¢0.3¢$5.15+$2.74$0
Will Trevor Lawrence win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes427.2¢8.3¢$3.42+$0.42$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes22.5k0.7¢0¢$0−$151−$3.50
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes3,7671.3¢0¢$0−$49−$4.76
Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?Yes1,5736.3¢0¢$0−$98−$35
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No1,4052.9¢0¢$0−$41−$0.49
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes1,3191.7¢0¢$0−$22+$6.80
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 May 25-31?Yes6182.8¢0¢$0−$17−$1.18
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes1752¢0¢$0−$3.50−$15
Tread FDV above $20M one day after launchNo15110.6¢0¢$0−$16−$1.64
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes11329¢0¢$0−$33−$99
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets Rockets8914¢0¢$0−$12+$1.62
Call of Duty: Team Heretics vs OpTic Gaming (BO9) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsTeam Heretics820¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Yes753.7¢0¢$0−$2.83−$0.16
Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsYes725.6¢0¢$0−$4.02−$0.09
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsYes5919.8¢0¢$0−$12−$0.35
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?Yes566¢0¢$0−$3.37−$0.13
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan?Yes544.6¢0¢$0−$2.50−$0.07
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes548¢0¢$0−$4.30−$90
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Riyadh Falcons (BO5) - Call of Duty League Championship PlayoffsRiyadh Falcons5229¢0¢$0−$15−$0.55
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5)Türkiye5010¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.14
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsYes474¢0¢$0−$1.89−$0.11
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)Türkiye4224¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.23
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 3 Norway?Yes426¢0¢$0−$2.50−$0.07
Magic vs. PistonsMagic3826.5¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.22
Raptors vs. CavaliersRaptors3628¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.22
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Yes3619¢0¢$0−$6.76−$0.23
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsYes359¢0¢$0−$3.18−$0.12
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?Yes339¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.08
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes3223¢0¢$0−$7.25−$0.24
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder3050¢0¢$0−$15−$0.23
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Yes2834¢0¢$0−$9.70−$0.28
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes2832.6¢0¢$0−$9.17−$0.23
MegaETH FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?Yes2718.7¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.29
Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs2638.5¢0¢$0−$9.90−$0.18
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Yes257.5¢0¢$0−$1.89−$0.11
MegaETH FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes2538¢0¢$0−$9.50−$0.42
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsYes2516¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.10
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?Yes2512¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.08
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?Yes258¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.06
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?Yes2218.5¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.10
Thunder vs. SpursThunder2041¢0¢$0−$8.00−$0.14
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Under1926¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.11
Call of Duty: FaZe Clan vs OpTic Gaming (BO7) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsFaZe Clan190¢0¢$0$0$0
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?Yes1811¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.05
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Yes1850¢0¢$0−$9.00−$0.14
Spurs vs. ThunderThunder1744¢0¢$0−$7.50−$0.13
Spread: United States (-2.5)United States1715¢0¢$0−$2.50−$0.06
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Colombia1637¢0¢$0−$5.75−$0.11
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes1525¢0¢$0−$3.87−$0.13
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsYes1530¢0¢$0−$4.50−$0.09
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder1527¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.09
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Argentina1242¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.09
Knicks vs. CavaliersCavaliers1144¢0¢$0−$4.90−$0.08
Spread: France (-1.5)Iraq1024¢0¢$0−$2.50−$0.06
France leading at halftime?Yes1049¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.08
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder953¢0¢$0−$4.95−$0.07
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Uzbekistan741¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.05

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoBeezie FDV above $150M one day after launch?40¢25$1032%51
BUY No3Jane FDV above $100M one day after launch?44¢17$7.5632%51
BUY NoWill Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2026?72¢27$1932%51
BUY NoWill Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2027?48.8¢25$1232%51
BUY NoWill Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2026?60.6¢244$14832%51
SELL NoTread FDV above $40M one day after launch43.2¢201$8732%51
BUY NoTread FDV above $20M one day after launch11¢36$4.0032%51
BUY NoTread FDV above $20M one day after launch10.4¢115$1232%51
BUY NoTread FDV above $40M one day after launch33.4¢66$2232%51
BUY YesWill Ja'Marr Chase win the 2026 NFL MVP?0.1¢2,058$2.4032%51
BUY YesWill Derrick Henry win the 2026 NFL MVP?0.4¢592$2.1132%51
BUY NoBeezie FDV above $150M one day after launch?46¢5$2.3032%51
BUY No3Jane FDV above $100M one day after launch?44¢16$7.0032%51
BUY YesWill Trevor Lawrence win the 2026 NFL MVP?7.2¢42$3.0032%51
BUY YesWill Derrick Henry win the 2026 NFL MVP?0.4¢569$2.0032%51
BUY YesWill Derrick Henry win the 2026 NFL MVP?0.3¢1,623$5.0032%51
BUY NoBeezie FDV above $150M one day after launch?48¢43$2132%51
BUY NoWill Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2026?57¢30$1732%51
SELL YesWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027?18.6¢183$3432%51
SELL YesWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?10¢100$1032%51