| Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 57 | 6.2¢ | 53.5¢ | $30 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1? | Yes | 22 | 13.5¢ | 86¢ | $19 | +$16 | +$0.12 | |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 21 | 20¢ | 91.5¢ | $19 | +$15 | +$5.17 | |
| Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms? | Yes | 92 | 1.8¢ | 18.5¢ | $17 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 28 | 5.3¢ | 55.5¢ | $16 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | Yes | 100 | 0.4¢ | 13.5¢ | $14 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will Ayyoub Bouaddi win the 2026 Golden Boy award? | Yes | 31 | 2.9¢ | 41.5¢ | $13 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Konstantinos Karetsas win the 2026 Golden Boy award? | Yes | 31 | 2.9¢ | 38.5¢ | $12 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Finn Jeltsch win the 2026 Golden Boy award? | Yes | 31 | 2.9¢ | 37.5¢ | $12 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Xavi Espart win the 2026 Golden Boy award? | Yes | 31 | 2.9¢ | 34¢ | $11 | +$9.65 | $0 | |
| Will Jon Martin win the 2026 Golden Boy award? | Yes | 31 | 2.9¢ | 33.5¢ | $10 | +$9.50 | $0 | |
| Will Charalampos Kostoulas win the 2026 Golden Boy award? | Yes | 31 | 2.9¢ | 33¢ | $10 | +$9.34 | $0 | |
| Will Joane Gadou win the 2026 Golden Boy award? | Yes | 31 | 2.9¢ | 33¢ | $10 | +$9.34 | $0 | |
| Will Nolo peak at Category 4? | Yes | 8 | 20¢ | 97.9¢ | $7.67 | +$6.10 | +$0.02 | |
| Will Democrats win the Minnesota Governor election and Republicans win the Minnesota Senate election? | Yes | 75 | 2¢ | 9.9¢ | $7.39 | +$5.89 | $0 | |
| Will the season series between the Cardinals and 49ers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 18 | 25.5¢ | 34¢ | $6.12 | +$1.53 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | Yes | 56 | 0.7¢ | 10.5¢ | $5.88 | +$5.51 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 42 | 0.6¢ | 13.5¢ | $5.72 | +$5.47 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-08 House seat? | Yes | 57 | 1.3¢ | 9.5¢ | $5.42 | +$4.68 | $0 | |
| Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 5 | 16.7¢ | 99.3¢ | $4.96 | +$4.13 | $0 | |
| Will Slovakia win 2026-27 Nations League Group C3? | Yes | 5 | 14.3¢ | 99¢ | $4.95 | +$4.23 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 10? | Yes | 10 | 9.1¢ | 48.5¢ | $4.86 | +$3.95 | $0 | |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 19 | 3.1¢ | 25¢ | $4.68 | +$4.09 | $0 | |
| Will Michael Dell be 2nd richest person on December 31? | Yes | 12 | 2.7¢ | 33.5¢ | $4.15 | +$3.82 | $0 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in Houston be 63°F or below on October 9? | Yes | 9 | 9¢ | 45.5¢ | $3.89 | +$3.11 | $0 | |
| Will South Korea win Group E at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup? | Yes | 5 | 14.3¢ | 75.5¢ | $3.82 | +$3.10 | $0 | |
| Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 153 and 157 seats after the 2026 election? | Yes | 5 | 16.7¢ | 76.1¢ | $3.81 | +$2.97 | $0 | |
| Will Luka Vuskovic win the 2026 Golden Boy award? | Yes | 31 | 2.9¢ | 11.8¢ | $3.64 | +$2.76 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 20 | 6.7¢ | 18¢ | $3.60 | +$2.27 | $0 | |
| Will Victor Froholdt win the 2026 Golden Boy award? | Yes | 31 | 2.9¢ | 10.3¢ | $3.18 | +$2.29 | $0 | |
| Will Jorrel Hato win the 2026 Golden Boy award? | Yes | 31 | 2.9¢ | 10.1¢ | $3.12 | +$2.23 | $0 | |
| Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV? | Yes | 38 | 3.5¢ | 8¢ | $3.04 | +$1.71 | $0 | |
| Will Said El Mala win the 2026 Golden Boy award? | Yes | 31 | 2.9¢ | 9.8¢ | $3.04 | +$2.15 | $0 | |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 63 | 20¢ | 4.6¢ | $2.91 | −$9.73 | $0 | |
| Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? | Yes | 7 | 3¢ | 44.4¢ | $2.88 | +$2.69 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win Clark County in the Nevada governor race in 2026? | Yes | 19 | 0.7¢ | 14.8¢ | $2.75 | +$2.63 | $0 | |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5 | 20¢ | 57.5¢ | $2.70 | +$1.76 | +$0.09 | |
| Will Yan Diomande win the 2026 Golden Boy award? | Yes | 31 | 2.9¢ | 8¢ | $2.48 | +$1.59 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 5 | 2.9¢ | 48¢ | $2.48 | +$2.33 | +$2.36 | |
| Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 67 | 0.5¢ | 3.6¢ | $2.41 | +$2.05 | $0 | |
| Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | Yes | 5 | 16.3¢ | 46.5¢ | $2.40 | +$1.56 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | Yes | 55 | 0.4¢ | 4.4¢ | $2.39 | +$2.16 | $0 | |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? | Yes | 15 | 11.1¢ | 15.5¢ | $2.35 | +$0.66 | $0 | |
| Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | Yes | 3 | 25.5¢ | 86.5¢ | $2.30 | +$1.62 | $0 | |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%? | Yes | 15 | 11.1¢ | 14¢ | $2.12 | +$0.43 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 50%-55%? | Yes | 6 | 5.3¢ | 33.5¢ | $2.01 | +$1.69 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 8 | 3.1¢ | 25.5¢ | $2.00 | +$1.75 | +$0.08 | |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 3 | 2.9¢ | 57.5¢ | $1.97 | +$1.87 | +$0.03 | |
| Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | Yes | 5 | 6.7¢ | 39.2¢ | $1.96 | +$1.63 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? | Yes | 38 | 0.6¢ | 5.1¢ | $1.96 | +$1.74 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 9 | 1.4¢ | 21.5¢ | $1.94 | +$1.81 | $0 | |
| Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5 | 2.1¢ | 38¢ | $1.90 | +$1.80 | $0 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 9? | Yes | 9 | 9¢ | 21.5¢ | $1.84 | +$1.06 | $0 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 9? | Yes | 5 | 5¢ | 36¢ | $1.80 | +$1.55 | $0 | |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 21 | 4¢ | 8.5¢ | $1.78 | +$0.95 | $0 | |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 5 | 2.9¢ | 35.5¢ | $1.77 | +$1.63 | +$2.37 | |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 5 | 2.4¢ | 35.3¢ | $1.76 | +$1.64 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? | Yes | 5 | 6.7¢ | 34.5¢ | $1.73 | +$1.39 | $0 | |
| Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 2 | 11.1¢ | 79.5¢ | $1.69 | +$1.45 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-21 House election by 5%-10%? | Yes | 5 | 9¢ | 33¢ | $1.67 | +$1.21 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 375,000 and 400,000? | Yes | 5 | 6.6¢ | 32¢ | $1.60 | +$1.27 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 35%-40%? | Yes | 5 | 7.7¢ | 30.5¢ | $1.56 | +$1.16 | $0 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 64-65°F on October 9? | Yes | 9 | 9¢ | 18¢ | $1.54 | +$0.76 | $0 | |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%? | Yes | 5 | 16.7¢ | 29¢ | $1.46 | +$0.62 | $0 | |
| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? | Yes | 5 | 16.3¢ | 27.1¢ | $1.40 | +$0.56 | $0 | |
| Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | Yes | 11 | 20¢ | 13¢ | $1.39 | −$0.75 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-03 House election by 55%-60%? | Yes | 6 | 5.3¢ | 23¢ | $1.38 | +$1.06 | $0 | |
| Will a team from another region win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026? | Yes | 5 | 13.9¢ | 25.5¢ | $1.35 | +$0.61 | $0 | |
| Will Rayan win the 2026 Golden Boy award? | Yes | 31 | 2.9¢ | 4.3¢ | $1.32 | +$0.43 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 41 | 3.1¢ | 3.2¢ | $1.32 | +$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 25 | 5.3¢ | 5.2¢ | $1.30 | −$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-05 House election by 40%-45%? | Yes | 5 | 7.7¢ | 24.3¢ | $1.24 | +$0.85 | $0 | |
| Will Henrich Varga win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election? | Yes | 15 | 0.1¢ | 7.9¢ | $1.18 | +$1.16 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte? | Yes | 15 | 0.3¢ | 7.8¢ | $1.16 | +$1.12 | $0 | |
| Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV? | Yes | 38 | 3.5¢ | 3.1¢ | $1.16 | −$0.17 | $0 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 9? | Yes | 5 | 9¢ | 21.1¢ | $1.09 | +$0.63 | $0 | |
| Will Otzma Yehudit win 5.5-6.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | Yes | 4 | 20¢ | 29.5¢ | $1.09 | +$0.35 | $0 | |
| Will France win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? | Yes | 5 | 5.2¢ | 20.5¢ | $1.06 | +$0.79 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WI-08 House seat? | Yes | 10 | 1¢ | 10.5¢ | $1.05 | +$0.95 | $0 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 9? | Yes | 5 | 5¢ | 21¢ | $1.05 | +$0.80 | $0 | |
| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026? | Yes | 5 | 4¢ | 20.7¢ | $1.03 | +$0.83 | $0 | |
| Will England win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? | Yes | 5 | 5.2¢ | 20¢ | $1.03 | +$0.76 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-05 House election by 35%-40%? | Yes | 5 | 7.7¢ | 20¢ | $1.02 | +$0.63 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 35%-40%? | Yes | 5 | 7.5¢ | 19.3¢ | $1.02 | +$0.62 | $0 | |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4? | Yes | 5 | 14.3¢ | 20.1¢ | $1.00 | +$0.29 | $0 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 9? | Yes | 5 | 5¢ | 20¢ | $1.00 | +$0.75 | $0 | |
| Will the 49ers win the season series against the Seahawks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 5 | 33.4¢ | 19.5¢ | $0.99 | −$0.70 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat? | Yes | 34 | 0.8¢ | 2.9¢ | $0.98 | +$0.70 | $0 | |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 5 | 2.4¢ | 19.5¢ | $0.97 | +$0.85 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be 400,000 or more? | Yes | 5 | 6.6¢ | 19.4¢ | $0.97 | +$0.64 | $0 | |
| Will there be no Gemini Argon release by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | 4¢ | 19.3¢ | $0.96 | +$0.77 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NJ-12 House seat? | Yes | 30 | 0.4¢ | 3.2¢ | $0.96 | +$0.83 | $0 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 9? | Yes | 5 | 5¢ | 19¢ | $0.95 | +$0.70 | $0 | |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 5 | 1.3¢ | 18.5¢ | $0.93 | +$0.86 | $0 | |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | 5.3¢ | 18.4¢ | $0.92 | +$0.66 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 5 | 7.7¢ | 17.2¢ | $0.89 | +$0.49 | +$0.01 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 325,000 and 350,000? | Yes | 5 | 6.6¢ | 17.5¢ | $0.88 | +$0.55 | $0 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 9? | Yes | 5 | 5¢ | 17.5¢ | $0.88 | +$0.63 | $0 | |
| Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? | Yes | 5 | 20¢ | 17¢ | $0.85 | −$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 55,000 and 60,000? | Yes | 5 | 12.4¢ | 15.5¢ | $0.80 | +$0.16 | $0 | |