PnL all-time+$120kvol $2.58M
PnL 30d+$17.0kgains $48.8k · losses $949
PnL 7d+$2,612win rate 7d 54.5%
Win rate68.2%adj 64.0% · 30d 72.4%
Open value$91.4kcash n/a
Positions8 / 78open / all-time
Max drawdown−21.6%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 8d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$131kbelow peak $0Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 68.2% · shrunk toward 50%60
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable63
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d73
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity78
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Noclosed+$32.3kStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? · Noclosed+$28.1kStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Noclosed+$14.6kStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Noclosed+$13.0kBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Noclosed+$11.1k
Worst markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yesclosed−$546Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? · Noclosed−$328Will there be between 31 and 33 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? · Noclosed−$58Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? · Yesclosed−$57Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? · Noclosed−$51
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 70.0k | 85.2¢ | 94.5¢ | $66.1k | +$6,491 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 25.0k | 80¢ | 97.9¢ | $24.5k | +$4,475 | $0 | |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | No | 493 | 83.2¢ | 89.5¢ | $441 | +$31 | −$12 | |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? | Yes | 453 | 60.9¢ | 70.5¢ | $320 | +$44 | +$7.24 | |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%? | Yes | 206 | 17.9¢ | 14.5¢ | $30 | −$6.97 | +$23 | |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | Yes | 234 | 11.7¢ | 1.9¢ | $4.44 | −$23 | +$15 | |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? | Yes | 273 | 11.3¢ | 1.3¢ | $3.55 | −$27 | −$0.42 | |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%? | Yes | 78 | 8¢ | 1.2¢ | $0.90 | −$5.34 | +$32 |
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