PnL all-time+$417vol $61.4k
PnL 30d+$81gains $123 · losses $79
PnL 7d−$5.89win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate89.3%adj 86.7% · 30d 76.2%
Open value$95cash n/a
Positions6 / 289open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 44m ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
82/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale37
Adjusted win rateraw 89.3% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$54Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yesclosed+$54Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? · Yesclosed+$53Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026? · Yesclosed+$47Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? · Yesclosed+$41
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4? · Noclosed−$122Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? · Yesclosed−$94Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026? · Yesclosed−$48Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30? · Yesclosed−$45Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? · Yesclosed−$43
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 122 | 58.1¢ | 68.4¢ | $83 | +$13 | +$18 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | Yes | 45 | 25.2¢ | 26.5¢ | $12 | +$0.61 | +$6.49 |
Recent trades
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