PnL all-time−$156vol $311k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate2.9%adj 6.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$150cash n/a
Positions5 / 243open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.5%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$156below peak −$156Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 2.9% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Epstein client list released by June 30? · Noopen+$6.00Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? · Noclosed+$3.43Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Russia" 7+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9? · Yesclosed+$2.90Will the price of XRP be above $2.90 on October 8? · Noclosed+$2.50Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15? · Noclosed+$1.58
Worst markets
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? · Noopen−$3.99Will the price of Solana be greater than $270 on October 9? · Noclosed−$3.73Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the next funding bill? · Yesopen−$3.30Will Trump attend the 2025 MLB World Series Finals? · Yesopen−$2.80Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noclosed−$2.78
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 100 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Epstein client list released by June 30? | No | 50 | 88¢ | 100¢ | $50 | +$6.00 | $0 | |
| Will Trump attend the 2025 MLB World Series Finals? | Yes | 8 | 35¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.80 | $0 | |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? | No | 7 | 57¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.99 | $0 | |
| Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the next funding bill? | Yes | 5 | 66¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.30 | $0 |
Recent trades
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