PnL all-time+$614kvol $2.13M
PnL 30d−$290gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$5.47win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate33.3%adj 47.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$191cash n/a
Positions9 / 12open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.7%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$612kbelow peak −$3,979Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale83
Adjusted win rateraw 33.3% · shrunk toward 50%19
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable36
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$5,416Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Noopen−$2,816Will a Republican win New Jersey Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$2,710Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yesopen−$1,869Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$1,658
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 10.9k | 18.8¢ | 1.8¢ | $191 | −$1,869 | $0 | |
| Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election? | Yes | 172k | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5,416 | $0 | |
| Will a Republican win New Jersey Presidential Election? | Yes | 65.6k | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,710 | $0 | |
| Will a Republican win California Presidential Election? | Yes | 32.4k | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$620 | $0 | |
| Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | 14.1k | 19.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,816 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1? | Yes | 12.4k | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$426 | $0 | |
| Will a Democrat win California Presidential Election? | No | 10.4k | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$261 | $0 | |
| Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 8,034 | 20.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,658 | $0 | |
| Will Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days? | Yes | 6,457 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$452 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s