PnL all-time−$69vol $649
PnL 30d+$92gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$62win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 56.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$376cash n/a
Positions9 / 12open / all-time
Max drawdown−17.2%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 37d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$33below peak −$53Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
15/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%41
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable36
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity83
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yesopen+$55Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$7.78Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET · Upclosed+$4.97Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesopen+$3.15Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$2.18
Worst markets
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Noopen−$66Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$8.12Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$5.43Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$2.27Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yesopen−$2.26
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 371 | 71.3¢ | 86¢ | $319 | +$55 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 30 | 70¢ | 80.5¢ | $24 | +$3.15 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 35 | 57.9¢ | 51.5¢ | $18 | −$2.26 | $0 | |
| Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 20 | 78¢ | 72.5¢ | $15 | −$1.10 | $0 |
Recent trades
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