PnL all-time−$19vol $48.7k
PnL 30d−$0.01gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$0.17win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate45.5%adj 46.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$159cash n/a
Positions3 / 84open / all-time
Max drawdown−1.9%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$19below peak −$17Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 45.5% · shrunk toward 50%16
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Noclosed+$0.46Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Noclosed+$0.24Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February? · Noclosed+$0.18Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Noclosed+$0.17Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Noclosed+$0.16
Worst markets
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? · Yesclosed−$2.12Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Noclosed−$1.28Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Noclosed−$1.24Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? · Noclosed−$1.23Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November? · Noclosed−$1.23
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP dip to $0.20 in July? | No | 100 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$0.10 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $37,500 in July? | No | 36 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $36 | +$0.04 | $0 | |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 23 | 97.2¢ | 97.6¢ | $22 | +$0.09 | $0 |
Recent trades
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