| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 978 | 78.6¢ | 89.5¢ | $875 | +$106 | −$332 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election? | No | 776 | 93.8¢ | 94¢ | $729 | +$1.29 | −$49 | |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 685 | 96.2¢ | 95.8¢ | $656 | −$3.07 | −$18 | |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? | No | 564 | 96.2¢ | 98.9¢ | $558 | +$15 | −$16 | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? | No | 507 | 87.9¢ | 84.5¢ | $429 | −$17 | −$6.40 | |
| Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? | No | 330 | 95¢ | 93.5¢ | $309 | −$5.24 | −$19 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election? | No | 264 | 94.5¢ | 98.8¢ | $260 | +$11 | −$17 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 275 | 78.5¢ | 85.5¢ | $235 | +$19 | −$293 | |
| Discord IPO before 2027? | No | 194 | 92.1¢ | 93.1¢ | $181 | +$1.88 | −$257 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 210 | 91¢ | 79.9¢ | $167 | −$23 | −$102 | |
| Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | No | 196 | 83¢ | 83.5¢ | $164 | +$0.98 | −$5.04 | |
| Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-16 House election? | No | 145 | 96.3¢ | 81¢ | $117 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | No | 1,044 | 12.4¢ | 9.9¢ | $103 | −$27 | +$271 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? | No | 99 | 93.8¢ | 95.1¢ | $94 | +$1.29 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-03 House election? | No | 97 | 97¢ | 95.8¢ | $92 | −$1.16 | $0 | |
| Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-35 House election? | No | 112 | 95.5¢ | 79¢ | $89 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | Yes | 105 | 80.4¢ | 81.5¢ | $86 | +$1.17 | −$233 | |
| Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026? | No | 99 | 83.5¢ | 85¢ | $84 | +$1.44 | −$34 | |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | No | 117 | 41.6¢ | 62.5¢ | $73 | +$25 | +$3.12 | |
| Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-23 House election? | No | 84 | 93.8¢ | 85¢ | $71 | −$7.43 | $0 | |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026? | No | 74 | 93.3¢ | 94¢ | $70 | +$0.49 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election? | No | 68 | 97.2¢ | 98.2¢ | $66 | +$0.67 | $0 | |
| Will Trump resign before 2027? | No | 63 | 97.7¢ | 97.5¢ | $61 | −$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-44 House election? | No | 72 | 97.7¢ | 79.5¢ | $57 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 510 | 10¢ | 11¢ | $56 | +$5.22 | +$1.42 | |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? | No | 58 | 91.9¢ | 93.4¢ | $54 | +$0.85 | −$1.84 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election? | No | 69 | 73.9¢ | 73.5¢ | $50 | −$0.29 | −$143 | |
| Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-27 House election? | No | 75 | 95.7¢ | 65¢ | $49 | −$23 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election? | No | 52 | 91.7¢ | 93.9¢ | $48 | +$1.12 | −$73 | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 65 | 78.2¢ | 73.5¢ | $48 | −$3.02 | −$12 | |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? | Yes | 121 | 62.4¢ | 38.7¢ | $47 | −$29 | −$4.08 | |
| Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-42 House election? | No | 75 | 96¢ | 62¢ | $46 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 48 | 97.4¢ | 97¢ | $46 | −$0.19 | $0 | |
| Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 210 | 8.6¢ | 19.6¢ | $41 | +$23 | +$102 | |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | No | 277 | 20.3¢ | 13.5¢ | $37 | −$19 | +$335 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-08 House seat? | Yes | 779 | 5.1¢ | 4.8¢ | $37 | −$2.83 | +$48 | |
| Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-51 House election? | No | 44 | 93¢ | 80.5¢ | $36 | −$5.55 | $0 | |
| Will 100 Thieves win VALORANT Champions 2026? | Yes | 133 | 18.6¢ | 25.5¢ | $34 | +$9.21 | +$65 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 37 | 89¢ | 88.5¢ | $33 | −$0.19 | −$675 | |
| Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-39 House election? | No | 40 | 94¢ | 77.5¢ | $31 | −$6.67 | $0 | |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | Yes | 37 | 82.1¢ | 80.5¢ | $30 | −$0.57 | −$131 | |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 146 | 20.9¢ | 20¢ | $29 | −$1.34 | +$163 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | 30 | 86¢ | 85.5¢ | $26 | −$0.15 | −$3.63 | |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 724 | 2.7¢ | 3.5¢ | $25 | +$5.33 | $0 | |
| Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | No | 25 | 96.5¢ | 97.8¢ | $24 | +$0.30 | −$64 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 24 | 88¢ | 93.5¢ | $22 | +$1.31 | $0 | |
| Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WA-06 House election? | No | 33 | 97¢ | 64¢ | $21 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-15 House election? | No | 33 | 93¢ | 62.8¢ | $21 | −$9.87 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TN-08 House election? | No | 30 | 95¢ | 61.5¢ | $18 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 65 | 22¢ | 27¢ | $17 | +$3.26 | +$11 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | Yes | 69 | 24¢ | 23¢ | $16 | −$0.72 | +$159 | |
| Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 104 | 13.5¢ | 14.5¢ | $15 | +$0.99 | +$35 | |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? | No | 16 | 94¢ | 95¢ | $15 | +$0.15 | −$22 | |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 25 | 57.5¢ | 57.5¢ | $15 | $0 | −$24 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 40% or more? | No | 15 | 92¢ | 96.2¢ | $14 | +$0.63 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 35%-40%? | No | 15 | 95¢ | 94.6¢ | $14 | −$0.06 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 0%-10%? | No | 15 | 91¢ | 94¢ | $14 | +$0.44 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 25%-30%? | No | 15 | 90¢ | 92.1¢ | $14 | +$0.31 | $0 | |
| Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-10 House election? | No | 21 | 94¢ | 65.3¢ | $14 | −$6.03 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 5%-10%? | No | 15 | 65¢ | 89.2¢ | $14 | +$3.68 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 10%-15%? | No | 15 | 88¢ | 90.2¢ | $14 | +$0.33 | $0 | |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 15 | 87.1¢ | 86.1¢ | $13 | −$0.15 | −$148 | |
| Will JetBlue Airways announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 330 | 3.7¢ | 4¢ | $13 | +$0.66 | +$20 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 15 | 90¢ | 83.5¢ | $13 | −$0.97 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 30%-35%? | No | 15 | 80¢ | 83.5¢ | $13 | +$0.53 | $0 | |
| Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 199 | 7¢ | 6¢ | $12 | −$1.94 | +$262 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 15 | 91¢ | 76.5¢ | $12 | −$2.21 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 10%-15%? | No | 15 | 89¢ | 76.5¢ | $12 | −$1.90 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 15 | 77¢ | 74.5¢ | $11 | −$0.38 | $0 | |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? | No | 25 | 44.5¢ | 43¢ | $11 | −$0.38 | +$18 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 25%-30%? | No | 15 | 91¢ | 72.2¢ | $11 | −$2.83 | $0 | |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | No | 21 | 51.1¢ | 49.5¢ | $11 | −$0.34 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-05 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 15 | 89¢ | 65.5¢ | $9.97 | −$3.58 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-25 House seat? | Yes | 247 | 5.9¢ | 3.8¢ | $9.27 | −$5.42 | +$79 | |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 9 | 89.6¢ | 96.5¢ | $8.61 | +$0.61 | +$22 | |
| Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026? | Yes | 305 | 4¢ | 2.5¢ | $7.61 | −$4.48 | +$18 | |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | 10 | 75¢ | 78.5¢ | $7.46 | +$0.33 | −$2.73 | |
| Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-32 House election? | No | 11 | 95.1¢ | 61.9¢ | $7.06 | −$3.79 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 774 | 3.7¢ | 0.9¢ | $6.58 | −$22 | +$43 | |
| Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-17 House election? | No | 9 | 92.2¢ | 73.8¢ | $6.40 | −$1.60 | +$1.00 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 25%-30%? | No | 6 | 83¢ | 96.8¢ | $6.11 | +$0.87 | $0 | |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | No | 21 | 28.5¢ | 29.5¢ | $6.11 | +$0.21 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 20%-25%? | No | 6 | 91¢ | 96.6¢ | $6.11 | +$0.35 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 0%-5%? | No | 6 | 79¢ | 96¢ | $6.06 | +$1.07 | $0 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 21 | 27¢ | 26.5¢ | $5.66 | −$0.11 | +$34 | |
| Will Mika Biereth (Monaco) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season? | No | 6 | 84.6¢ | 99.6¢ | $5.66 | +$0.85 | +$0.27 | |
| Will Folarin Balogun (Monaco) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season? | No | 6 | 92¢ | 95.4¢ | $5.42 | +$0.19 | −$0.06 | |
| Will Ludovic Ajorque (Brest) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season? | No | 6 | 87.8¢ | 93.6¢ | $5.32 | +$0.33 | −$0.23 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 15%-20%? | No | 6 | 80¢ | 79.5¢ | $5.02 | −$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 43 | 12.9¢ | 11.5¢ | $4.95 | −$0.61 | $0 | |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé (PSG) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season? | No | 6 | 82¢ | 85¢ | $4.83 | +$0.17 | −$0.01 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 5%-10%? | No | 6 | 88¢ | 76.1¢ | $4.81 | −$0.75 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? | Yes | 65 | 7.3¢ | 7¢ | $4.57 | −$0.19 | +$4.80 | |
| Will Ferran Torres (PSG) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season? | No | 6 | 90¢ | 80¢ | $4.54 | −$0.57 | −$0.03 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election? | No | 5 | 90.6¢ | 96.4¢ | $4.48 | +$0.27 | −$10 | |
| Will Estéban Lepaul (Rennes) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season? | No | 6 | 79¢ | 78¢ | $4.43 | −$0.06 | −$0.16 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-11 House election? | No | 6 | 93¢ | 66¢ | $4.23 | −$1.73 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 10%-15%? | No | 6 | 89¢ | 66.5¢ | $4.20 | −$1.42 | $0 | |
| Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-24 House election? | No | 6 | 93¢ | 62.5¢ | $3.94 | −$1.92 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-08 House election? | No | 6 | 92¢ | 61.9¢ | $3.92 | −$1.91 | $0 | |